Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

MJ Henry, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 10, 2 below their balls per dismissal of 12 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 251 balls faced.
Sample: 251 balls · medium confidence
Away from home: average of 8.1, 2.8 below their average of 10.8 on all balls faced (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 206 balls faced.
Sample: 206 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Batting first: average of 13.8, 2.9 above their average of 10.8 on all balls faced (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 165 balls faced.
Sample: 165 balls · low confidence
Pace: average of 11.8, 1.0 above their average of 10.8 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 221 balls faced.
Sample: 221 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 37.5, 9.0 above their strike rate of 28.5 on all balls bowled (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 1798 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,798 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 28.8, 4.1 above their average of 24.7 on all balls bowled (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 2777 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,777 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): economy of 7.93, 2.71 above their economy of 5.22 on all balls bowled (+52%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 718 balls bowled.
Sample: 718 balls · medium confidence
England: average of 37.6, 12.9 above their average of 24.7 on all balls bowled (+52%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 606 balls bowled.
Sample: 606 balls · medium confidence
England: average of 35.5, 10.8 above their average of 24.7 on all balls bowled (+44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 704 balls bowled.
Sample: 704 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 35.1, 10.4 above their average of 24.7 on all balls bowled (+42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 284 balls bowled.
Sample: 284 balls · low confidence
South Africa: average of 41.2, 16.4 above their average of 24.7 on all balls bowled (+66%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 291 balls bowled.
Sample: 291 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Powerplay (1-10): economy of 4.20, 1.01 below their economy of 5.22 on all balls bowled (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 2352 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,352 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 20.1, 4.6 below their average of 24.7 on all balls bowled (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 2091 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,091 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 20.1, 4.6 below their average of 24.7 on all balls bowled (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 2091 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,091 balls · high confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 15.3, 9.4 below their average of 24.7 on all balls bowled (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 688 balls bowled.
Sample: 688 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 21.0, 3.7 below their average of 24.7 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +13%) — 590 balls bowled.
Sample: 590 balls · medium confidence
Death (41-50): strike rate of 15.0, 13.5 below their strike rate of 28.5 on all balls bowled (-47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -23%) — 718 balls bowled.
Sample: 718 balls · medium confidence
United Arab Emirates: average of 16.2, 8.6 below their average of 24.7 on all balls bowled (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 336 balls bowled.
Sample: 336 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	75	94	8	11.75	125.33	54.7%	21.3%
Right-arm fast	71	61	7	8.71	85.92	52.1%	9.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (41-50)	223	220	19	11.58	98.65	52.0%	12.1%
Middle (11-40)	67	50	6	8.33	74.63	62.7%	9.0%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	3,084	2,677	116	23.08	5.21	26.6	56.7%	10.2%
Left-handed batters	1,784	1,555	55	28.27	5.23	32.4	60.0%	12.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-10)	2,352	1,648	75	21.97	4.20	31.4	69.2%	10.1%
Middle (11-40)	1,798	1,635	48	34.06	5.46	37.5	52.2%	10.2%
Death (41-50)	718	949	48	19.77	7.93	15.0	35.5%	15.2%