Plans built only from the evidence.

Batting first: average of 20.8, 16.4 below their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (-44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 239 balls faced.

Sample: 239 balls · medium confidence

Spin: average of 31.7, 5.5 below their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 268 balls faced.

Sample: 268 balls · medium confidence

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 78.9, 12.6 below their strike rate of 91.5 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 402 balls faced.

Sample: 402 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 19.0, 18.2 below their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (-49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 204 balls faced.

Sample: 204 balls · low confidence

India: average of 19.0, 18.2 below their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (-49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 204 balls faced.

Sample: 204 balls · low confidence

Away from home: average of 64.5, 27.3 above their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (+73%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 406 balls faced.

Sample: 406 balls · medium confidence

Chasing: average of 61.8, 24.6 above their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (+66%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 371 balls faced.

Sample: 371 balls · medium confidence

Pace: average of 42.0, 4.8 above their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 342 balls faced.

Sample: 342 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 53.3, 16.1 above their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 185 balls faced.

Sample: 185 balls · low confidence

Death (41-50): average of 44.0, 6.8 above their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -7%) — 177 balls faced.

Sample: 177 balls · low confidence

Australia: average of 40.6, 3.4 above their average of 37.2 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 177 balls faced.

Sample: 177 balls · low confidence