Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

MN Waller, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Batting first: average of 16.3, 5.8 below their average of 22.1 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 540 balls faced.
Sample: 540 balls · high confidence
Spin: average of 20.2, 1.9 below their average of 22.1 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 684 balls faced.
Sample: 684 balls · high confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 26, 3 below their balls per dismissal of 29 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 514 balls faced.
Sample: 514 balls · high confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 59.2, 17.7 below their strike rate of 76.9 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 292 balls faced.
Sample: 292 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 15.7, 6.4 below their average of 22.1 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 292 balls faced.
Sample: 292 balls · medium confidence
Bangladesh: average of 18.0, 4.1 below their average of 22.1 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 410 balls faced.
Sample: 410 balls · medium confidence
Bangladesh: average of 17.0, 5.1 below their average of 22.1 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 294 balls faced.
Sample: 294 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Chasing: average of 27.7, 5.6 above their average of 22.1 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 811 balls faced.
Sample: 811 balls · high confidence
Pace: average of 24.1, 2.0 above their average of 22.1 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 667 balls faced.
Sample: 667 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 84.6, 7.7 above their strike rate of 76.9 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 338 balls faced.
Sample: 338 balls · medium confidence
New Zealand: average of 43.8, 21.6 above their average of 22.1 on all balls faced (+98%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 167 balls faced.
Sample: 167 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Right-handed batters: average of 74.2, 19.8 above their average of 54.4 on all balls bowled (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 318 balls bowled.
Sample: 318 balls · low confidence
Right-handed batters: economy of 5.60, 0.45 above their economy of 5.16 on all balls bowled (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 318 balls bowled.
Sample: 318 balls · low confidence
At home: average of 67.8, 13.3 above their average of 54.4 on all balls bowled (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 312 balls bowled.
Sample: 312 balls · low confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 67.8, 13.3 above their average of 54.4 on all balls bowled (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 312 balls bowled.
Sample: 312 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Left-handed batters: economy of 4.60, 0.56 below their economy of 5.16 on all balls bowled (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 252 balls bowled.
Sample: 252 balls · low confidence
Away from home: average of 43.8, 10.6 below their average of 54.4 on all balls bowled (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 258 balls bowled.
Sample: 258 balls · low confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 38.6, 15.8 below their average of 54.4 on all balls bowled (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 252 balls bowled.
Sample: 252 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	338	286	12	23.83	84.62	52.4%	10.1%
Slow left-arm orthodox	292	173	11	15.73	59.25	64.7%	6.2%
Off break	254	201	7	28.71	79.13	49.2%	7.9%
Leg break	103	85	4	21.25	82.52	51.5%	9.7%
Right-arm medium	97	86	4	21.50	88.66	51.5%	11.3%
Right-arm fast	87	56	5	11.20	64.37	55.2%	5.7%
Left-arm fast-medium	66	83	1	83.00	125.76	37.9%	18.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	318	297	4	74.25	5.60	79.5	42.5%	7.5%
Left-handed batters	252	193	5	38.60	4.60	50.4	46.8%	4.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	498	424	7	60.57	5.11	71.1	44.2%	6.2%

Middle (11-40)	1,150	834	34	24.53	72.52	57.2%	8.2%
Death (41-50)	170	186	12	15.50	109.41	34.7%	11.8%