Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Mohammad Sami, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 50.6, 18.3 below their strike rate of 68.9 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 174 balls faced.
Sample: 174 balls · low confidence
Batting first: average of 12.8, 2.6 below their average of 15.4 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 209 balls faced.
Sample: 209 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Pace: average of 18.5, 3.1 above their average of 15.4 on all balls faced (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 262 balls faced.
Sample: 262 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 22.7, 7.3 above their average of 15.4 on all balls faced (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 188 balls faced.
Sample: 188 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 54.3, 18.9 above their strike rate of 35.5 on all balls bowled (+53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +15%) — 1032 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,032 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 32.8, 3.3 above their average of 29.5 on all balls bowled (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1631 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,631 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): economy of 7.10, 2.11 above their economy of 5.00 on all balls bowled (+42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 489 balls bowled.
Sample: 489 balls · medium confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 50.4, 20.9 above their average of 29.5 on all balls bowled (+71%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 288 balls bowled.
Sample: 288 balls · low confidence
England: average of 54.0, 24.5 above their average of 29.5 on all balls bowled (+83%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 294 balls bowled.
Sample: 294 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 26.7, 8.7 below their strike rate of 35.5 on all balls bowled (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 855 balls bowled.
Sample: 855 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 4.58, 0.41 below their economy of 5.00 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 745 balls bowled.
Sample: 745 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 23.7, 5.8 below their average of 29.5 on all balls bowled (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 745 balls bowled.
Sample: 745 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-10): economy of 4.27, 0.72 below their economy of 5.00 on all balls bowled (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 1032 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,032 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 22.4, 7.2 below their average of 29.5 on all balls bowled (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 264 balls bowled.
Sample: 264 balls · low confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 22.0, 7.5 below their average of 29.5 on all balls bowled (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 341 balls bowled.
Sample: 341 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	188	136	6	22.67	72.34	56.9%	5.9%
Slow left-arm orthodox	63	46	3	15.33	73.02	65.1%	9.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (41-50)	183	158	11	14.36	86.34	47.5%	6.6%
Middle (11-40)	174	88	5	17.60	50.57	67.8%	4.6%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,631	1,410	43	32.79	5.19	37.9	59.3%	10.4%
Left-handed batters	745	569	24	23.71	4.58	31.0	61.1%	7.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-10)	1,032	735	19	38.68	4.27	54.3	70.7%	8.9%
Middle (11-40)	855	665	32	20.78	4.67	26.7	60.4%	8.4%
Death (41-50)	489	579	16	36.19	7.10	30.6	36.0%	12.3%