Plans built only from the evidence.

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 65.5, 24.5 below their strike rate of 90.0 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 516 balls faced.

Sample: 516 balls · high confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 30, 8 below their balls per dismissal of 38 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 1136 balls faced.

Sample: 1,136 balls · high confidence

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 75.3, 14.7 below their strike rate of 90.0 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 2094 balls faced.

Sample: 2,094 balls · high confidence

Chasing: average of 30.2, 4.2 below their average of 34.4 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1375 balls faced.

Sample: 1,375 balls · high confidence

Away from home: average of 30.0, 4.4 below their average of 34.4 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1339 balls faced.

Sample: 1,339 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 29.4, 5.0 below their average of 34.4 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 718 balls faced.

Sample: 718 balls · high confidence

Leg break: strike rate of 75.3, 14.6 below their strike rate of 90.0 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 239 balls faced.

Sample: 239 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 23.4, 11.1 below their average of 34.4 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 409 balls faced.

Sample: 409 balls · medium confidence

India: average of 26.9, 7.5 below their average of 34.4 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 356 balls faced.

Sample: 356 balls · medium confidence

Pakistan: average of 28.0, 6.4 below their average of 34.4 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 279 balls faced.

Sample: 279 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 14.8, 19.6 below their average of 34.4 on all balls faced (-57%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 180 balls faced.

Sample: 180 balls · low confidence

England: average of 22.6, 11.9 below their average of 34.4 on all balls faced (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 222 balls faced.

Sample: 222 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 106.4, 16.4 above their strike rate of 90.0 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 718 balls faced.

Sample: 718 balls · high confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 56, 18 above their balls per dismissal of 38 on all balls faced (+46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1344 balls faced.

Sample: 1,344 balls · high confidence

Batting first: average of 38.9, 4.4 above their average of 34.4 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1534 balls faced.

Sample: 1,534 balls · high confidence

Off break: strike rate of 96.0, 6.0 above their strike rate of 90.0 on all balls faced (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 497 balls faced.

Sample: 497 balls · high confidence

Death (41-50): strike rate of 131.2, 41.2 above their strike rate of 90.0 on all balls faced (+46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +25%) — 786 balls faced.

Sample: 786 balls · high confidence

South Africa: average of 39.7, 5.2 above their average of 34.4 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1428 balls faced.

Sample: 1,428 balls · high confidence

Australia: average of 54.7, 20.2 above their average of 34.4 on all balls faced (+59%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 375 balls faced.

Sample: 375 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 39.6, 5.2 above their average of 34.4 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 1369 balls faced.

Sample: 1,369 balls · high confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 76.0, 41.6 above their average of 34.4 on all balls faced (+121%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +13%) — 230 balls faced.

Sample: 230 balls · medium confidence