Plans built only from the evidence.

Right-arm medium: strike rate of 60.7, 8.5 below their strike rate of 69.1 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 262 balls faced.

Sample: 262 balls · medium confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 45, 4 below their balls per dismissal of 49 on all balls faced (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 225 balls faced.

Sample: 225 balls · medium confidence

Chasing: average of 25.2, 8.8 below their average of 33.9 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 206 balls faced.

Sample: 206 balls · low confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 44, 5 below their balls per dismissal of 49 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 220 balls faced.

Sample: 220 balls · low confidence

Batting first: average of 40.5, 6.6 above their average of 33.9 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 481 balls faced.

Sample: 481 balls · high confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 60, 11 above their balls per dismissal of 49 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 242 balls faced.

Sample: 242 balls · medium confidence

Off break: strike rate of 84.7, 15.6 above their strike rate of 69.1 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 190 balls faced.

Sample: 190 balls · low confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 111.0, 77.1 above their average of 33.9 on all balls faced (+227%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +45%) — 175 balls faced.

Sample: 175 balls · low confidence