Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Naseem Shah, Men's ODI

No batting weakness clears the thresholds in this format.

Away from home: average of 20.7, 4.1 above their average of 16.6 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 162 balls faced.
Sample: 162 balls · low confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 27, 8 above their balls per dismissal of 19 on all balls faced (+42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 163 balls faced.
Sample: 163 balls · low confidence

Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 43.3, 14.6 above their strike rate of 28.6 on all balls bowled (+51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +15%) — 822 balls bowled.
Sample: 822 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 28.8, 1.8 above their average of 26.9 on all balls bowled (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 971 balls bowled.
Sample: 971 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 40.9, 12.3 above their strike rate of 28.6 on all balls bowled (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 654 balls bowled.
Sample: 654 balls · medium confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 45.0, 18.1 above their average of 26.9 on all balls bowled (+67%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 264 balls bowled.
Sample: 264 balls · low confidence

Away from home: average of 25.0, 1.9 below their average of 26.9 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 832 balls bowled.
Sample: 832 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): economy of 5.08, 0.56 below their economy of 5.64 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 654 balls bowled.
Sample: 654 balls · medium confidence
Death (41-50): strike rate of 11.7, 16.9 below their strike rate of 28.6 on all balls bowled (-59%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -23%) — 327 balls bowled.
Sample: 327 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	114	93	10	9.30	81.58	52.6%	9.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (41-50)	138	113	10	11.30	81.88	50.7%	8.0%
Middle (11-40)	92	86	2	43.00	93.48	54.3%	10.9%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,213	1,142	44	25.95	5.65	27.6	54.7%	11.4%
Left-handed batters	590	554	19	29.16	5.63	31.1	51.0%	10.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-10)	822	733	19	38.58	5.35	43.3	63.3%	12.9%
Middle (11-40)	654	554	16	34.63	5.08	40.9	51.1%	7.6%
Death (41-50)	327	409	28	14.61	7.50	11.7	33.6%	12.8%