Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

NK Patel, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Middle (11-40): average of 17.0, 2.9 below their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 482 balls faced.
Sample: 482 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 56.4, 13.2 below their strike rate of 69.6 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 482 balls faced.
Sample: 482 balls · high confidence
Spin: average of 15.6, 4.3 below their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 376 balls faced.
Sample: 376 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 12.9, 7.0 below their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 218 balls faced.
Sample: 218 balls · low confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 59.2, 10.5 below their strike rate of 69.6 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 218 balls faced.
Sample: 218 balls · low confidence
Chasing: average of 17.2, 2.7 below their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 184 balls faced.
Sample: 184 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Pace: average of 25.6, 5.7 above their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 306 balls faced.
Sample: 306 balls · medium confidence
Batting first: average of 21.5, 1.6 above their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 501 balls faced.
Sample: 501 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): average of 29.0, 9.1 above their average of 19.9 on all balls faced (+46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -7%) — 200 balls faced.
Sample: 200 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Right-handed batters: average of 33.0, 2.4 above their average of 30.5 on all balls bowled (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1174 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,174 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 34.5, 4.0 above their average of 30.5 on all balls bowled (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 848 balls bowled.
Sample: 848 balls · high confidence
Scotland: average of 42.0, 11.5 above their average of 30.5 on all balls bowled (+38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 247 balls bowled.
Sample: 247 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Namibia: average of 17.9, 12.6 below their average of 30.5 on all balls bowled (-41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 420 balls bowled.
Sample: 420 balls · medium confidence
Papua New Guinea: average of 14.2, 16.3 below their average of 30.5 on all balls bowled (-54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 306 balls bowled.
Sample: 306 balls · low confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 23.2, 7.4 below their average of 30.5 on all balls bowled (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 338 balls bowled.
Sample: 338 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Slow left-arm orthodox	218	129	10	12.90	59.17	63.8%	4.6%
Right-arm fast-medium	140	98	3	32.67	70.00	50.7%	6.4%
Off break	86	39	2	19.50	45.35	58.1%	0.0%
Leg break	72	50	2	25.00	69.44	56.9%	6.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	482	272	16	17.00	56.43	61.6%	4.6%
Death (41-50)	200	203	7	29.00	101.50	39.5%	10.0%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,174	923	28	32.96	4.72	41.9	50.9%	6.3%
Left-handed batters	338	255	11	23.18	4.53	30.7	58.6%	8.3%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,338	1,018	33	30.85	4.57	40.5	52.6%	6.4%
Death (41-50)	181	156	6	26.00	5.17	30.2	51.9%	8.3%