Plans built only from the evidence.

Pace: average of 25.7, 6.8 below their average of 32.5 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 430 balls faced.

Sample: 430 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 64.2, 8.8 below their strike rate of 73.0 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 193 balls faced.

Sample: 193 balls · low confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 30, 14 below their balls per dismissal of 44 on all balls faced (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 180 balls faced.

Sample: 180 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 24.8, 7.7 below their average of 32.5 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 193 balls faced.

Sample: 193 balls · low confidence

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 84.6, 11.5 above their strike rate of 73.0 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 240 balls faced.

Sample: 240 balls · medium confidence

Middle (11-40): average of 50.8, 18.2 above their average of 32.5 on all balls faced (+56%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 240 balls faced.

Sample: 240 balls · medium confidence

Australia: average of 39.3, 6.8 above their average of 32.5 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 340 balls faced.

Sample: 340 balls · medium confidence

Chasing: average of 36.8, 4.3 above their average of 32.5 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 247 balls faced.

Sample: 247 balls · medium confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 90, 46 above their balls per dismissal of 44 on all balls faced (+102%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 180 balls faced.

Sample: 180 balls · low confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 50.0, 17.5 above their average of 32.5 on all balls faced (+54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 190 balls faced.

Sample: 190 balls · low confidence