Plans built only from the evidence.

Death (41-50): economy of 6.71, 2.27 above their economy of 4.44 on all balls bowled (+51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 875 balls bowled.

Sample: 875 balls · high confidence

South Africa: average of 39.0, 14.9 above their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (+62%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 955 balls bowled.

Sample: 955 balls · high confidence

New Zealand: average of 34.0, 10.0 above their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (+41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 892 balls bowled.

Sample: 892 balls · high confidence

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 41.6, 9.1 above their strike rate of 32.5 on all balls bowled (+28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 1830 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,830 balls · high confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 27.8, 3.7 above their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1789 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,789 balls · high confidence

England: average of 35.1, 11.1 above their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (+46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 336 balls bowled.

Sample: 336 balls · low confidence

Death (41-50): strike rate of 17.2, 15.4 below their strike rate of 32.5 on all balls bowled (-47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -23%) — 875 balls bowled.

Sample: 875 balls · high confidence

Powerplay (1-10): economy of 3.77, 0.67 below their economy of 4.44 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 2304 balls bowled.

Sample: 2,304 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 12.6, 11.5 below their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (-48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 613 balls bowled.

Sample: 613 balls · medium confidence

West Indies: average of 17.3, 6.7 below their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 663 balls bowled.

Sample: 663 balls · medium confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 22.3, 1.7 below their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 3220 balls bowled.

Sample: 3,220 balls · high confidence

England: average of 22.4, 1.7 below their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 762 balls bowled.

Sample: 762 balls · high confidence

West Indies: average of 16.3, 7.7 below their average of 24.1 on all balls bowled (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 479 balls bowled.

Sample: 479 balls · medium confidence