Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

O Prendergast, Women's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Batting first: average of 31.3, 4.7 below their average of 36.0 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 996 balls faced.
Sample: 996 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 56.7, 20.2 below their strike rate of 76.9 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 261 balls faced.
Sample: 261 balls · medium confidence
Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 28, 19 below their balls per dismissal of 47 on all balls faced (-41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 440 balls faced.
Sample: 440 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 31.4, 4.6 below their average of 36.0 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1050 balls faced.
Sample: 1,050 balls · high confidence
Off break: average of 30.1, 5.9 below their average of 36.0 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 483 balls faced.
Sample: 483 balls · high confidence
Pakistan: average of 24.2, 11.8 below their average of 36.0 on all balls faced (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +17%) — 295 balls faced.
Sample: 295 balls · medium confidence
Away from home: average of 31.9, 4.1 below their average of 36.0 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1064 balls faced.
Sample: 1,064 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 24.7, 11.3 below their average of 36.0 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 261 balls faced.
Sample: 261 balls · medium confidence
Leg break: average of 29.8, 6.2 below their average of 36.0 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 327 balls faced.
Sample: 327 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Chasing: average of 43.7, 7.7 above their average of 36.0 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 735 balls faced.
Sample: 735 balls · high confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 65, 18 above their balls per dismissal of 47 on all balls faced (+38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 646 balls faced.
Sample: 646 balls · high confidence
Pace: average of 47.0, 11.0 above their average of 36.0 on all balls faced (+31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 656 balls faced.
Sample: 656 balls · high confidence
Right-arm medium: strike rate of 92.8, 15.8 above their strike rate of 76.9 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 346 balls faced.
Sample: 346 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm medium: average of 64.2, 28.2 above their average of 36.0 on all balls faced (+78%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 346 balls faced.
Sample: 346 balls · medium confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 61.0, 25.0 above their average of 36.0 on all balls faced (+69%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 154 balls faced.
Sample: 154 balls · low confidence
South Africa: average of 48.7, 12.7 above their average of 36.0 on all balls faced (+35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 158 balls faced.
Sample: 158 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Right-handed batters: average of 42.9, 4.9 above their average of 38.0 on all balls bowled (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 982 balls bowled.
Sample: 982 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 44.2, 6.2 above their average of 38.0 on all balls bowled (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 807 balls bowled.
Sample: 807 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 105.3, 60.2 above their strike rate of 45.1 on all balls bowled (+134%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 316 balls bowled.
Sample: 316 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Powerplay (1-10): economy of 4.27, 0.78 below their economy of 5.05 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 864 balls bowled.
Sample: 864 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 29.5, 8.5 below their average of 38.0 on all balls bowled (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 534 balls bowled.
Sample: 534 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 29.3, 8.6 below their average of 38.0 on all balls bowled (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 338 balls bowled.
Sample: 338 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Off break	483	361	12	30.08	74.74	54.0%	6.2%
Right-arm medium	346	321	5	64.20	92.77	45.1%	9.0%
Leg break	327	238	8	29.75	72.78	55.0%	7.6%
Right-arm fast-medium	261	148	6	24.67	56.70	63.2%	5.7%
Slow left-arm orthodox	240	187	5	37.40	77.92	54.6%	8.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,412	1,047	27	38.78	74.15	53.9%	7.0%
Powerplay (1-10)	175	109	3	36.33

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	982	857	20	42.85	5.24	49.1	60.7%	12.3%
Left-handed batters	338	264	9	29.33	4.69	37.6	64.2%	10.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-10)	864	615	20	30.75	4.27	43.2	69.4%	9.8%
Middle (11-40)	316	295	3	98.33	5.60	105.3	51.3%	11.7%
Death (41-50)	173	229	7	32.71	7.94	24.7	43.9%	20.2%