Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

P Utseya, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Zimbabwe: average of 13.9, 5.6 below their average of 19.5 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 721 balls faced.
Sample: 721 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 42.3, 16.6 below their strike rate of 58.9 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1082 balls faced.
Sample: 1,082 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 15.8, 3.8 below their average of 19.5 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 1082 balls faced.
Sample: 1,082 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 13.9, 5.6 below their average of 19.5 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 721 balls faced.
Sample: 721 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 15.0, 4.5 below their average of 19.5 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 519 balls faced.
Sample: 519 balls · high confidence
Batting first: average of 16.2, 3.3 below their average of 19.5 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 768 balls faced.
Sample: 768 balls · high confidence
Off break: average of 11.5, 8.0 below their average of 19.5 on all balls faced (-41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 311 balls faced.
Sample: 311 balls · medium confidence
Bangladesh: average of 14.3, 5.2 below their average of 19.5 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 394 balls faced.
Sample: 394 balls · medium confidence
Off break: strike rate of 48.2, 10.7 below their strike rate of 58.9 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 311 balls faced.
Sample: 311 balls · medium confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 12.5, 7.0 below their average of 19.5 on all balls faced (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 225 balls faced.
Sample: 225 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Away from home: average of 25.6, 6.0 above their average of 19.5 on all balls faced (+31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1151 balls faced.
Sample: 1,151 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): average of 23.4, 3.9 above their average of 19.5 on all balls faced (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -7%) — 809 balls faced.
Sample: 809 balls · high confidence
Chasing: average of 23.2, 3.7 above their average of 19.5 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1123 balls faced.
Sample: 1,123 balls · high confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 40.8, 21.3 above their average of 19.5 on all balls faced (+109%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 365 balls faced.
Sample: 365 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 63.8, 4.9 above their strike rate of 58.9 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 519 balls faced.
Sample: 519 balls · high confidence
India: average of 25.2, 5.6 above their average of 19.5 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 244 balls faced.
Sample: 244 balls · medium confidence
Leg break: average of 25.6, 6.1 above their average of 19.5 on all balls faced (+31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 228 balls faced.
Sample: 228 balls · medium confidence
Pakistan: average of 40.3, 20.8 above their average of 19.5 on all balls faced (+106%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 172 balls faced.
Sample: 172 balls · low confidence
South Africa: average of 32.0, 12.5 above their average of 19.5 on all balls faced (+64%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 192 balls faced.
Sample: 192 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Sri Lanka: average of 94.0, 41.5 above their average of 52.5 on all balls bowled (+79%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 464 balls bowled.
Sample: 464 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 81.7, 29.2 above their average of 52.5 on all balls bowled (+56%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 640 balls bowled.
Sample: 640 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Death (41-50): strike rate of 27.5, 39.9 below their strike rate of 67.4 on all balls bowled (-59%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -23%) — 577 balls bowled.
Sample: 577 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 48.6, 3.8 below their average of 52.5 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 1032 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,032 balls · high confidence
Bangladesh: average of 40.1, 12.4 below their average of 52.5 on all balls bowled (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 693 balls bowled.
Sample: 693 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	519	331	22	15.05	63.78	57.8%	6.0%
Slow left-arm orthodox	365	204	5	40.80	55.89	61.6%	4.9%
Off break	311	150	13	11.54	48.23	65.9%	2.6%
Leg break	228	128	5	25.60	56.14	58.8%	3.1%
Right-arm medium	199	111	4	27.75	55.78	60.3%	3.0%
Right-arm fast	125	62	3	20.67	49.60	60.0%	3.2%
Left-arm fast-medium	97	87	4	21.75	89.69	47.4%	10.3%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	3,694	2,957	57	51.88	4.80	64.8	47.5%	5.7%
Left-handed batters	2,439	1,816	34	53.41	4.47	71.7	53.9%	6.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	5,214	3,928	66	59.52	4.52	79.0	50.1%	5.4%
Death (41-50)	577	591	21	28.14	6.15	27.5	40.6%	9.4%
Powerplay (1-10)	342	254	4	63.50	4.46	85.5	65.5%	9.4%

Middle (11-40)	1,082	458	29	15.79	42.33	68.7%	2.6%
Death (41-50)	809	656	28	23.43	81.09	47.5%	7.3%