Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

PD Salt, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 18, 10 below their balls per dismissal of 28 on all balls faced (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 272 balls faced.
Sample: 272 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 27.8, 4.7 below their average of 32.5 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 248 balls faced.
Sample: 248 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Away from home: average of 35.3, 2.7 above their average of 32.5 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 600 balls faced.
Sample: 600 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 47.2, 14.7 above their average of 32.5 on all balls faced (+45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 225 balls faced.
Sample: 225 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 132.3, 17.2 above their strike rate of 115.1 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 334 balls faced.
Sample: 334 balls · medium confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 41, 13 above their balls per dismissal of 28 on all balls faced (+44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 408 balls faced.
Sample: 408 balls · medium confidence
Netherlands: average of 82.7, 50.1 above their average of 32.5 on all balls faced (+154%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +17%) — 177 balls faced.
Sample: 177 balls · low confidence
Netherlands: average of 82.7, 50.1 above their average of 32.5 on all balls faced (+154%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 177 balls faced.
Sample: 177 balls · low confidence
Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 34, 5 above their balls per dismissal of 28 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 168 balls faced.
Sample: 168 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	334	442	12	36.83	132.34	48.2%	21.9%
Slow left-arm orthodox	117	124	4	31.00	105.98	35.9%	12.0%
Right-arm fast	94	91	3	30.33	96.81	57.4%	17.0%
Left-arm fast	82	84	2	42.00	102.44	61.0%	18.3%
Left-arm fast-medium	71	91	4	22.75	128.17	56.3%	22.5%
Right-arm medium	71	65	3	21.67	91.55	66.2%	16.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-10)	621	740	24	30.83