Plans built only from the evidence.

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 23.9, 16.2 below their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (-40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 302 balls faced.

Sample: 302 balls · medium confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 34, 18 below their balls per dismissal of 52 on all balls faced (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 235 balls faced.

Sample: 235 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 71.2, 6.4 below their strike rate of 77.5 on all balls faced (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 302 balls faced.

Sample: 302 balls · medium confidence

Batting first: average of 30.2, 9.9 below their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 371 balls faced.

Sample: 371 balls · medium confidence

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 68.8, 8.7 below their strike rate of 77.5 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 597 balls faced.

Sample: 597 balls · high confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 45, 6 below their balls per dismissal of 52 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 227 balls faced.

Sample: 227 balls · medium confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 62.7, 14.9 below their strike rate of 77.5 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 158 balls faced.

Sample: 158 balls · low confidence

New Zealand: average of 29.8, 10.3 below their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 193 balls faced.

Sample: 193 balls · low confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 104, 53 above their balls per dismissal of 52 on all balls faced (+102%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 313 balls faced.

Sample: 313 balls · medium confidence

Chasing: average of 59.8, 19.7 above their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (+49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 404 balls faced.

Sample: 404 balls · medium confidence

Ireland: average of 67.5, 27.4 above their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (+68%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: +15%) — 169 balls faced.

Sample: 169 balls · low confidence