Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

R McLaren, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Off break: strike rate of 54.0, 17.4 below their strike rate of 71.3 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 278 balls faced.
Sample: 278 balls · medium confidence
Batting first: average of 14.2, 5.2 below their average of 19.4 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 338 balls faced.
Sample: 338 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 54.3, 17.0 below their strike rate of 71.3 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 420 balls faced.
Sample: 420 balls · medium confidence
Off break: average of 15.0, 4.4 below their average of 19.4 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 278 balls faced.
Sample: 278 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 16.4, 3.0 below their average of 19.4 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 363 balls faced.
Sample: 363 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 14.9, 4.5 below their average of 19.4 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 189 balls faced.
Sample: 189 balls · low confidence
South Africa: average of 14.9, 4.5 below their average of 19.4 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 189 balls faced.
Sample: 189 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Away from home: average of 21.9, 2.5 above their average of 19.4 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 491 balls faced.
Sample: 491 balls · high confidence
Chasing: average of 32.9, 13.5 above their average of 19.4 on all balls faced (+69%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 342 balls faced.
Sample: 342 balls · medium confidence
Pace: average of 22.2, 2.8 above their average of 19.4 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 317 balls faced.
Sample: 317 balls · medium confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 29.3, 9.9 above their average of 19.4 on all balls faced (+51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 163 balls faced.
Sample: 163 balls · low confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 29.3, 9.9 above their average of 19.4 on all balls faced (+51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 163 balls faced.
Sample: 163 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Death (41-50): economy of 7.73, 2.48 above their economy of 5.24 on all balls bowled (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 365 balls bowled.
Sample: 365 balls · medium confidence
England: average of 105.0, 78.3 above their average of 26.7 on all balls bowled (+294%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 246 balls bowled.
Sample: 246 balls · low confidence
Australia: average of 71.5, 44.8 above their average of 26.7 on all balls bowled (+168%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 258 balls bowled.
Sample: 258 balls · low confidence
West Indies: average of 47.4, 20.7 above their average of 26.7 on all balls bowled (+78%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 247 balls bowled.
Sample: 247 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Middle (11-40): economy of 4.82, 0.42 below their economy of 5.24 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 1756 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,756 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 24.2, 2.4 below their average of 26.7 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 790 balls bowled.
Sample: 790 balls · high confidence
Pakistan: average of 18.6, 8.0 below their average of 26.7 on all balls bowled (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 638 balls bowled.
Sample: 638 balls · medium confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 16.5, 10.2 below their average of 26.7 on all balls bowled (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 264 balls bowled.
Sample: 264 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Off break	278	150	10	15.00	53.96	62.9%	4.3%
Right-arm fast-medium	93	86	6	14.33	92.47	47.3%	10.8%
Left-arm fast	73	66	2	33.00	90.41	47.9%	12.3%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	420	228	12	19.00	54.29	61.2%	4.0%
Death (41-50)	260	257	13	19.77	98.85	45.0%	11.9%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,735	1,529	58	26.36	5.29	29.9	53.7%	9.8%
Left-handed batters	614	524	19	27.58	5.12	32.3	53.3%	10.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,756	1,412	54	26.15	4.82	32.5	56.0%	8.7%
Death (41-50)	365	470	20	23.50	7.73	18.3	37.3%	16.2%
Powerplay (1-10)	228	171	3	57.00	4.50	76.0	61.0%	9.2%