Plans built only from the evidence.

Right-handed batters: average of 31.6, 5.4 above their average of 26.2 on all balls bowled (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 951 balls bowled.

Sample: 951 balls · high confidence

Away from home: average of 30.4, 4.2 above their average of 26.2 on all balls bowled (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 906 balls bowled.

Sample: 906 balls · high confidence

England: average of 16.2, 10.0 below their average of 26.2 on all balls bowled (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 397 balls bowled.

Sample: 397 balls · medium confidence

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 26.3, 2.8 below their strike rate of 29.1 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 421 balls bowled.

Sample: 421 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 18.6, 7.6 below their average of 26.2 on all balls bowled (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 388 balls bowled.

Sample: 388 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 19.0, 7.2 below their average of 26.2 on all balls bowled (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 433 balls bowled.

Sample: 433 balls · medium confidence