Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

RL Chase, Men's ODI

Pace: average of 21.3, 4.6 below their average of 26.0 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 680 balls faced.
Sample: 680 balls · high confidence
Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 15, 18 below their balls per dismissal of 33 on all balls faced (-55%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 178 balls faced.
Sample: 178 balls · low confidence
Bangladesh: average of 16.0, 10.0 below their average of 26.0 on all balls faced (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 211 balls faced.
Sample: 211 balls · low confidence
Leg break: average of 19.3, 6.7 below their average of 26.0 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 163 balls faced.
Sample: 163 balls · low confidence
Death (41-50): average of 16.0, 10.0 below their average of 26.0 on all balls faced (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -7%) — 160 balls faced.
Sample: 160 balls · low confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 44, 11 above their balls per dismissal of 33 on all balls faced (+33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 611 balls faced.
Sample: 611 balls · high confidence
Spin: average of 32.8, 6.8 above their average of 26.0 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 703 balls faced.
Sample: 703 balls · high confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 38.2, 12.2 above their average of 26.0 on all balls faced (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 232 balls faced.
Sample: 232 balls · medium confidence
Off break: average of 86.0, 60.0 above their average of 26.0 on all balls faced (+231%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 223 balls faced.
Sample: 223 balls · low confidence

Right-handed batters: economy of 5.47, 0.30 above their economy of 5.16 on all balls bowled (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1557 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,557 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 59.1, 7.7 above their average of 51.4 on all balls bowled (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1557 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,557 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 59.1, 7.7 above their average of 51.4 on all balls bowled (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1646 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,646 balls · high confidence
India: average of 170.5, 119.1 above their average of 51.4 on all balls bowled (+232%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +13%) — 320 balls bowled.
Sample: 320 balls · low confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 63.4, 12.0 above their average of 51.4 on all balls bowled (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 344 balls bowled.
Sample: 344 balls · low confidence

Left-handed batters: economy of 4.63, 0.53 below their economy of 5.16 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 892 balls bowled.
Sample: 892 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 39.4, 12.0 below their average of 51.4 on all balls bowled (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 803 balls bowled.
Sample: 803 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 40.5, 10.9 below their average of 51.4 on all balls bowled (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 892 balls bowled.
Sample: 892 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 39.4, 12.0 below their average of 51.4 on all balls bowled (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 803 balls bowled.

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	422	340	13	26.15	80.57	51.9%	8.3%
Slow left-arm orthodox	232	191	5	38.20	82.33	44.8%	6.9%
Off break	223	172	2	86.00	77.13	42.6%	5.4%
Leg break	163	135	7	19.29	82.82	43.6%	7.4%
Left-arm fast-medium	97	73	5	14.60	75.26	49.5%	5.2%
Right-arm fast	93	69	6	11.50	74.19	55.9%	8.6%
Left-arm wrist spin	85	59	3	19.67	69.41	52.9%	5.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,557	1,419	24	59.13	5.47	64.9	43.9%	7.6%
Left-handed batters	892	689	17	40.53	4.63	52.5	52.6%	6.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	2,044	1,685	30	56.17	4.95	68.1	47.7%	6.8%
Death (41-50)	249	287	8	35.88	6.92	31.1	32.1%	9.2%
Powerplay (1-10)	156	136	3	45.33	5.23	52.0	62.8%	11.5%

Middle (11-40)	1,216	910	31	29.35	74.84	50.2%	6.6%
Death (41-50)	160	176	11	16.00	110.00	32.5%	10.6%