Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Rohan Mustafa, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Middle (11-40): average of 20.2, 2.8 below their average of 23.0 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 1432 balls faced.
Sample: 1,432 balls · high confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 31, 5 below their balls per dismissal of 36 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 843 balls faced.
Sample: 843 balls · high confidence
Chasing: average of 18.6, 4.3 below their average of 23.0 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 745 balls faced.
Sample: 745 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 53.6, 10.3 below their strike rate of 63.9 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1432 balls faced.
Sample: 1,432 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 18.9, 4.0 below their average of 23.0 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 991 balls faced.
Sample: 991 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 18.7, 4.3 below their average of 23.0 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 590 balls faced.
Sample: 590 balls · high confidence
Off break: strike rate of 51.2, 12.7 below their strike rate of 63.9 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 381 balls faced.
Sample: 381 balls · medium confidence
Nepal: average of 15.5, 7.5 below their average of 23.0 on all balls faced (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 248 balls faced.
Sample: 248 balls · medium confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 21.4, 1.6 below their average of 23.0 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 417 balls faced.
Sample: 417 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 74.2, 10.3 above their strike rate of 63.9 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 512 balls faced.
Sample: 512 balls · high confidence
Papua New Guinea: average of 50.9, 27.9 above their average of 23.0 on all balls faced (+121%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 528 balls faced.
Sample: 528 balls · high confidence
Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 42, 6 above their balls per dismissal of 36 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 628 balls faced.
Sample: 628 balls · high confidence
Batting first: average of 26.4, 3.4 above their average of 23.0 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1448 balls faced.
Sample: 1,448 balls · high confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 168.0, 145.0 above their average of 23.0 on all balls faced (+631%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 227 balls faced.
Sample: 227 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 27.1, 4.2 above their average of 23.0 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 1033 balls faced.
Sample: 1,033 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): average of 31.6, 8.7 above their average of 23.0 on all balls faced (+38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -7%) — 249 balls faced.
Sample: 249 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm medium: average of 30.9, 8.0 above their average of 23.0 on all balls faced (+35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 598 balls faced.
Sample: 598 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-10): average of 25.3, 2.4 above their average of 23.0 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 512 balls faced.
Sample: 512 balls · high confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Ireland: average of 57.2, 24.2 above their average of 33.0 on all balls bowled (+73%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 456 balls bowled.
Sample: 456 balls · medium confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 34.6, 1.6 above their average of 33.0 on all balls bowled (+5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2295 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,295 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): economy of 6.59, 2.10 above their economy of 4.49 on all balls bowled (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 553 balls bowled.
Sample: 553 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Left-handed batters: economy of 4.22, 0.27 below their economy of 4.49 on all balls bowled (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1181 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,181 balls · high confidence
Papua New Guinea: average of 18.5, 14.5 below their average of 33.0 on all balls bowled (-44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 500 balls bowled.
Sample: 500 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): economy of 4.16, 0.32 below their economy of 4.49 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 2673 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,673 balls · high confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm medium	598	402	13	30.92	67.22	57.2%	5.5%
Right-arm fast-medium	590	393	21	18.71	66.61	65.4%	8.6%
Off break	381	195	9	21.67	51.18	65.4%	3.9%
Slow left-arm orthodox	227	168	1	168.00	74.01	60.8%	8.4%
Leg break	134	67	6	11.17	50.00	63.4%	3.7%
Left-arm fast-medium	101	73	5	14.60	72.28	49.5%	5.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,432	768	38	20.21

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,295	1,766	51	34.63	4.62	45.0	51.6%	6.3%
Left-handed batters	1,181	831	28	29.68	4.22	42.2	55.5%	6.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	2,673	1,855	55	33.73	4.16	48.6	55.1%	5.5%
Death (41-50)	553	607	18	33.72	6.59	30.7	35.8%	9.6%
Powerplay (1-10)	258	144	6	24.00	3.35	43.0	66.7%	6.6%