Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

RP Burl, Men's ODI

Batting first: average of 23.9, 4.3 below their average of 28.2 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 488 balls faced.
Sample: 488 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 73.9, 10.2 below their strike rate of 84.1 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 731 balls faced.
Sample: 731 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 21.3, 6.9 below their average of 28.2 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 357 balls faced.
Sample: 357 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 33.7, 5.5 above their average of 28.2 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 548 balls faced.
Sample: 548 balls · high confidence
Chasing: average of 36.8, 8.6 above their average of 28.2 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 417 balls faced.
Sample: 417 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 44, 11 above their balls per dismissal of 34 on all balls faced (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 310 balls faced.
Sample: 310 balls · medium confidence
Off break: strike rate of 91.2, 7.1 above their strike rate of 84.1 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 204 balls faced.
Sample: 204 balls · low confidence
Off break: average of 46.5, 18.3 above their average of 28.2 on all balls faced (+65%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 204 balls faced.
Sample: 204 balls · low confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 69.3, 23.0 above their average of 46.3 on all balls bowled (+50%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 428 balls bowled.
Sample: 428 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 159.5, 113.2 above their average of 46.3 on all balls bowled (+244%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 296 balls bowled.
Sample: 296 balls · low confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 159.5, 113.2 above their average of 46.3 on all balls bowled (+244%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 296 balls bowled.
Sample: 296 balls · low confidence

Away from home: average of 25.7, 20.6 below their average of 46.3 on all balls bowled (-44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 250 balls bowled.
Sample: 250 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	330	272	11	24.73	82.42	53.0%	9.4%
Off break	204	186	4	46.50	91.18	48.0%	8.8%
Slow left-arm orthodox	83	81	3	27.00	97.59	43.4%	10.8%
Leg break	81	41	3	13.67	50.62	67.9%	2.5%
Right-arm medium	65	66	2	33.00	101.54	53.8%	12.3%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	731	540	19	28.42	73.87	56.0%	7.4%
Death (41-50)	145	216	7	30.86

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	428	485	7	69.29	6.80	61.1	43.0%	13.6%
Left-handed batters	118	117	6	19.50	5.95	19.7	49.2%	10.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	502	536	12	44.67	6.41	41.8	45.4%	12.5%