Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

RW Price, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 45.3, 14.5 below their strike rate of 59.8 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 232 balls faced.
Sample: 232 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 7.5, 1.7 below their average of 9.3 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 165 balls faced.
Sample: 165 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Away from home: average of 10.5, 1.2 above their average of 9.3 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 348 balls faced.
Sample: 348 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 77.5, 17.7 above their strike rate of 59.8 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 151 balls faced.
Sample: 151 balls · low confidence
Chasing: average of 10.8, 1.5 above their average of 9.3 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 201 balls faced.
Sample: 201 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Left-handed batters: economy of 4.66, 0.53 above their economy of 4.13 on all balls bowled (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1236 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,236 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 43.8, 7.2 above their average of 36.6 on all balls bowled (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 1644 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,644 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 45.7, 9.1 above their average of 36.6 on all balls bowled (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1236 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,236 balls · high confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 43.8, 7.2 above their average of 36.6 on all balls bowled (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1644 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,644 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 113.3, 76.7 above their average of 36.6 on all balls bowled (+209%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 402 balls bowled.
Sample: 402 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 58.0, 21.4 above their average of 36.6 on all balls bowled (+58%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 638 balls bowled.
Sample: 638 balls · medium confidence
Death (41-50): economy of 6.32, 2.19 above their economy of 4.13 on all balls bowled (+53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 435 balls bowled.
Sample: 435 balls · medium confidence
Australia: average of 87.0, 50.4 above their average of 36.6 on all balls bowled (+138%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 240 balls bowled.
Sample: 240 balls · low confidence
Australia: average of 80.3, 43.7 above their average of 36.6 on all balls bowled (+119%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 300 balls bowled.
Sample: 300 balls · low confidence
West Indies: average of 53.7, 17.0 above their average of 36.6 on all balls bowled (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 266 balls bowled.

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Right-handed batters: economy of 3.90, 0.23 below their economy of 4.13 on all balls bowled (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 2865 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,865 balls · high confidence
Bangladesh: average of 25.3, 11.3 below their average of 36.6 on all balls bowled (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 1113 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,113 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 33.6, 3.0 below their average of 36.6 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 2337 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,337 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 33.2, 3.4 below their average of 36.6 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2865 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,865 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-10): economy of 2.90, 1.23 below their economy of 4.13 on all balls bowled (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 480 balls bowled.
Sample: 480 balls · medium confidence
Bangladesh: average of 23.3, 13.3 below their average of 36.6 on all balls bowled (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 554 balls bowled.
Sample: 554 balls · medium confidence
Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 48.0, 5.3 below their strike rate of 53.3 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: +15%) — 480 balls bowled.
Sample: 480 balls · medium confidence
Death (41-50): strike rate of 27.2, 26.1 below their strike rate of 53.3 on all balls bowled (-49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -23%) — 435 balls bowled.
Sample: 435 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	151	117	16	7.31	77.48	54.3%	8.6%
Slow left-arm orthodox	130	62	7	8.86	47.69	70.0%	4.6%
Off break	104	54	3	18.00	51.92	57.7%	2.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (41-50)	295	210	22	9.55	71.19	51.5%	6.1%
Middle (11-40)	232	105	12	8.75	45.26	73.7%	5.2%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,865	1,860	56	33.21	3.90	51.2	59.3%	5.1%
Left-handed batters	1,236	960	21	45.71	4.66	58.9	49.4%	5.7%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	3,186	2,130	51	41.76	4.01	62.5	56.5%	4.9%
Powerplay (1-10)	480	232	10	23.20	2.90	48.0	70.0%	4.8%
Death (41-50)	435	458	16	28.63	6.32	27.2	39.8%	9.2%