Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

S Prasanna, Men's ODI

Death (41-50): strike rate of 83.9, 11.6 below their strike rate of 95.5 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +25%) — 161 balls faced.
Sample: 161 balls · low confidence
Chasing: average of 10.9, 2.7 below their average of 13.6 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 157 balls faced.
Sample: 157 balls · low confidence

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 105.6, 10.2 above their strike rate of 95.5 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 267 balls faced.
Sample: 267 balls · medium confidence
Away from home: average of 15.8, 2.2 above their average of 13.6 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 409 balls faced.
Sample: 409 balls · medium confidence
Batting first: average of 15.5, 1.9 above their average of 13.6 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 284 balls faced.
Sample: 284 balls · medium confidence

Away from home: average of 79.0, 23.4 above their average of 55.6 on all balls bowled (+42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1413 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,413 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 59.5, 4.0 above their average of 55.6 on all balls bowled (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1598 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,598 balls · high confidence
India: average of 100.0, 44.4 above their average of 55.6 on all balls bowled (+80%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +13%) — 309 balls bowled.
Sample: 309 balls · low confidence
India: average of 85.0, 29.4 above their average of 55.6 on all balls bowled (+53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 255 balls bowled.
Sample: 255 balls · low confidence

At home: average of 27.1, 28.4 below their average of 55.6 on all balls bowled (-51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 492 balls bowled.
Sample: 492 balls · medium confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 27.1, 28.4 below their average of 55.6 on all balls bowled (-51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 492 balls bowled.
Sample: 492 balls · medium confidence
Australia: average of 33.3, 22.3 below their average of 55.6 on all balls bowled (-40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 258 balls bowled.
Sample: 258 balls · low confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 42.0, 13.6 below their average of 55.6 on all balls bowled (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 307 balls bowled.
Sample: 307 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	111	158	7	22.57	142.34	39.6%	18.9%
Off break	102	96	2	48.00	94.12	58.8%	12.7%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	267	282	17	16.59	105.62	56.6%	15.0%
Death (41-50)	161	135	14	9.64	83.85	50.9%	9.3%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,598	1,429	24	59.54	5.37	66.6	45.5%	7.6%
Left-handed batters	307	294	7	42.00	5.75	43.9	43.6%	8.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,686	1,475	23	64.13	5.25	73.3	46.0%	7.2%
Death (41-50)	183	222	7	31.71	7.28	26.1	35.0%	13.1%