Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Saeed Ajmal, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 41.2, 19.3 below their strike rate of 60.5 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 187 balls faced.
Sample: 187 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 67.4, 6.9 above their strike rate of 60.5 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 230 balls faced.
Sample: 230 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Death (41-50): economy of 5.82, 1.60 above their economy of 4.23 on all balls bowled (+38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 1179 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,179 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 25.1, 2.0 above their average of 23.1 on all balls bowled (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 3866 balls bowled.
Sample: 3,866 balls · high confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 29.8, 6.6 above their average of 23.1 on all balls bowled (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 516 balls bowled.
Sample: 516 balls · medium confidence
Bangladesh: average of 26.2, 3.0 above their average of 23.1 on all balls bowled (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 483 balls bowled.
Sample: 483 balls · medium confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 27.0, 3.9 above their average of 23.1 on all balls bowled (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 264 balls bowled.
Sample: 264 balls · low confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 27.0, 3.9 above their average of 23.1 on all balls bowled (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 264 balls bowled.
Sample: 264 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Middle (11-40): economy of 3.82, 0.40 below their economy of 4.23 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 4377 balls bowled.
Sample: 4,377 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): strike rate of 19.3, 13.5 below their strike rate of 32.8 on all balls bowled (-41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -23%) — 1179 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,179 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 20.0, 3.1 below their average of 23.1 on all balls bowled (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1882 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,882 balls · high confidence
United Arab Emirates: average of 20.1, 3.0 below their average of 23.1 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1891 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,891 balls · high confidence
India: average of 18.2, 4.9 below their average of 23.1 on all balls bowled (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +13%) — 555 balls bowled.
Sample: 555 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 20.9, 2.2 below their average of 23.1 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 643 balls bowled.
Sample: 643 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	230	155	21	7.38	67.39	54.3%	5.7%
Right-arm fast	94	53	7	7.57	56.38	52.1%	3.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (41-50)	347	246	33	7.45	70.89	51.6%	6.3%
Middle (11-40)	187	77	9	8.56	41.18	66.8%	1.6%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	3,866	2,709	108	25.08	4.20	35.8	55.8%	5.8%
Left-handed batters	1,882	1,339	67	19.99	4.27	28.1	55.6%	6.3%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	4,377	2,789	114	24.46	3.82	38.4	57.8%	4.8%
Death (41-50)	1,179	1,144	61	18.75	5.82	19.3	46.0%	10.0%
Powerplay (1-10)	192	115	0	–	3.59	–	69.3%	6.8%