Plans built only from the evidence.

Spin: average of 32.2, 4.2 below their average of 36.4 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 554 balls faced.

Sample: 554 balls · high confidence

At home: average of 33.5, 2.9 below their average of 36.4 on all balls faced (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 466 balls faced.

Sample: 466 balls · high confidence

Leg break: average of 24.0, 12.4 below their average of 36.4 on all balls faced (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 172 balls faced.

Sample: 172 balls · low confidence

Leg break: strike rate of 83.7, 15.4 below their strike rate of 99.1 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 172 balls faced.

Sample: 172 balls · low confidence

New Zealand: average of 26.9, 9.5 below their average of 36.4 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 202 balls faced.

Sample: 202 balls · low confidence

Pace: average of 44.8, 8.4 above their average of 36.4 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 327 balls faced.

Sample: 327 balls · medium confidence

Away from home: average of 42.2, 5.8 above their average of 36.4 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 390 balls faced.

Sample: 390 balls · medium confidence

Off break: strike rate of 107.9, 8.8 above their strike rate of 99.1 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 265 balls faced.

Sample: 265 balls · medium confidence

Off break: average of 57.2, 20.8 above their average of 36.4 on all balls faced (+57%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 265 balls faced.

Sample: 265 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 204.0, 167.6 above their average of 36.4 on all balls faced (+461%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 190 balls faced.

Sample: 190 balls · low confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 104.5, 68.1 above their average of 36.4 on all balls faced (+187%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 202 balls faced.

Sample: 202 balls · low confidence