Plans built only from the evidence.

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 17, 9 below their balls per dismissal of 26 on all balls faced (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 336 balls faced.

Sample: 336 balls · medium confidence

Batting first: average of 15.6, 5.2 below their average of 20.8 on all balls faced (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 351 balls faced.

Sample: 351 balls · medium confidence

Middle (11-40): average of 18.6, 2.2 below their average of 20.8 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 440 balls faced.

Sample: 440 balls · medium confidence

Spin: average of 19.1, 1.8 below their average of 20.8 on all balls faced (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 360 balls faced.

Sample: 360 balls · medium confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 45, 19 above their balls per dismissal of 26 on all balls faced (+72%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 450 balls faced.

Sample: 450 balls · high confidence

Chasing: average of 25.2, 4.4 above their average of 20.8 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 567 balls faced.

Sample: 567 balls · high confidence

Pace: average of 22.0, 1.2 above their average of 20.8 on all balls faced (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 558 balls faced.

Sample: 558 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 38.0, 17.2 above their average of 20.8 on all balls faced (+82%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 261 balls faced.

Sample: 261 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 26.1, 5.3 above their average of 20.8 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 381 balls faced.

Sample: 381 balls · medium confidence

Powerplay (1-10): average of 23.2, 2.4 above their average of 20.8 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 436 balls faced.

Sample: 436 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 42.2, 21.4 above their average of 20.8 on all balls faced (+103%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 184 balls faced.

Sample: 184 balls · low confidence