Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

SFM Devine, Women's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

India: average of 27.3, 13.2 below their average of 40.5 on all balls faced (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 496 balls faced.
Sample: 496 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 78.6, 10.6 below their strike rate of 89.1 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 816 balls faced.
Sample: 816 balls · high confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 79.5, 9.7 below their strike rate of 89.1 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 750 balls faced.
Sample: 750 balls · high confidence
Chasing: average of 34.1, 6.4 below their average of 40.5 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1288 balls faced.
Sample: 1,288 balls · high confidence
Right-arm medium: average of 36.1, 4.4 below their average of 40.5 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 676 balls faced.
Sample: 676 balls · high confidence
England: average of 32.2, 8.3 below their average of 40.5 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 538 balls faced.
Sample: 538 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): average of 25.4, 15.1 below their average of 40.5 on all balls faced (-37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 277 balls faced.
Sample: 277 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 35.1, 5.4 below their average of 40.5 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 750 balls faced.
Sample: 750 balls · high confidence
Bangladesh: average of 35.2, 5.2 below their average of 40.5 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 166 balls faced.
Sample: 166 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Off break: strike rate of 99.7, 10.6 above their strike rate of 89.1 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 658 balls faced.
Sample: 658 balls · high confidence
Batting first: average of 45.7, 5.2 above their average of 40.5 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2165 balls faced.
Sample: 2,165 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 52.6, 12.1 above their average of 40.5 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 451 balls faced.
Sample: 451 balls · high confidence
India: average of 46.7, 6.2 above their average of 40.5 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 648 balls faced.
Sample: 648 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 42.4, 1.9 above their average of 40.5 on all balls faced (+5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1998 balls faced.
Sample: 1,998 balls · high confidence
Leg break: strike rate of 97.4, 8.3 above their strike rate of 89.1 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 389 balls faced.
Sample: 389 balls · medium confidence
Death (41-50): strike rate of 137.5, 48.4 above their strike rate of 89.1 on all balls faced (+54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +24%) — 277 balls faced.
Sample: 277 balls · medium confidence
Leg break: average of 54.1, 13.6 above their average of 40.5 on all balls faced (+34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 389 balls faced.
Sample: 389 balls · medium confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 194.0, 153.5 above their average of 40.5 on all balls faced (+379%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 183 balls faced.
Sample: 183 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 89.3, 45.3 above their strike rate of 44.0 on all balls bowled (+103%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +14%) — 804 balls bowled.
Sample: 804 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 39.0, 3.2 above their average of 35.8 on all balls bowled (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1953 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,953 balls · high confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

New Zealand: average of 33.8, 2.0 below their average of 35.8 on all balls bowled (-5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 994 balls bowled.
Sample: 994 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 29.8, 6.0 below their average of 35.8 on all balls bowled (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 596 balls bowled.
Sample: 596 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	816	641	17	37.71	78.55	56.4%	9.8%
Slow left-arm orthodox	750	596	17	35.06	79.47	53.9%	8.5%
Right-arm medium	676	614	17	36.12	90.83	52.7%	13.2%
Off break	658	656	15	43.73	99.70	42.2%	9.9%
Leg break	389	379	7	54.14	97.43	44.2%	10.8%
Right-arm fast	100	124	1	124.00	124.00	33.0%	14.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	2,264	1,930	43	44.88

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,953	1,598	41	38.98	4.91	47.6	58.3%	9.6%
Left-handed batters	596	476	16	29.75	4.79	37.3	61.1%	10.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,420	1,136	29	39.17	4.80	49.0	57.4%	9.1%
Powerplay (1-10)	804	583	9	64.78	4.35	89.3	68.8%	10.0%
Death (41-50)	330	356	20	17.80	6.47	16.5	41.8%	12.1%