Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

SL Malinga, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Pace: average of 5.8, 0.9 below their average of 6.8 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 445 balls faced.
Sample: 445 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Middle (11-40): average of 9.0, 2.2 above their average of 6.8 on all balls faced (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 280 balls faced.
Sample: 280 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 9.2, 2.4 above their average of 6.8 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 244 balls faced.
Sample: 244 balls · medium confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 8.0, 1.2 above their average of 6.8 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 179 balls faced.
Sample: 179 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

India: average of 45.5, 16.8 above their average of 28.7 on all balls bowled (+58%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +13%) — 1939 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,939 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 40.5, 8.4 above their strike rate of 32.1 on all balls bowled (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 4176 balls bowled.
Sample: 4,176 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 37.5, 8.7 above their average of 28.7 on all balls bowled (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 444 balls bowled.
Sample: 444 balls · medium confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 39.6, 10.8 above their average of 28.7 on all balls bowled (+38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 315 balls bowled.
Sample: 315 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Death (41-50): strike rate of 17.7, 14.4 below their strike rate of 32.1 on all balls bowled (-45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -23%) — 2128 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,128 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 25.4, 3.3 below their average of 28.7 on all balls bowled (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 1461 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,461 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-10): economy of 4.64, 0.73 below their economy of 5.37 on all balls bowled (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 4032 balls bowled.
Sample: 4,032 balls · high confidence
Bangladesh: average of 16.6, 12.2 below their average of 28.7 on all balls bowled (-42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 708 balls bowled.
Sample: 708 balls · medium confidence
England: average of 26.5, 2.2 below their average of 28.7 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 1410 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,410 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 20.2, 8.5 below their average of 28.7 on all balls bowled (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 565 balls bowled.
Sample: 565 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 19.9, 8.8 below their average of 28.7 on all balls bowled (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 458 balls bowled.
Sample: 458 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	224	166	28	5.93	74.11	62.5%	8.9%
Off break	84	61	9	6.78	72.62	64.3%	6.0%
Slow left-arm orthodox	81	70	5	14.00	86.42	64.2%	12.3%
Right-arm fast	74	53	10	5.30	71.62	63.5%	9.5%
Left-arm fast-medium	69	51	7	7.29	73.91	56.5%	7.2%
Leg break	62	55	6	9.17	88.71	64.5%	12.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (41-50)	409	320	54	5.93	78.24

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	7,036	6,353	214	29.69	5.42	32.9	53.7%	9.9%
Left-handed batters	3,300	2,898	108	26.83	5.27	30.6	54.5%	9.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	4,176	3,746	103	36.37	5.38	40.5	50.4%	9.2%
Powerplay (1-10)	4,032	3,117	99	31.48	4.64	40.7	66.3%	10.3%
Death (41-50)	2,128	2,388	120	19.90	6.73	17.7	37.5%	10.5%