Plans built only from the evidence.

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 64.0, 31.0 above their strike rate of 33.0 on all balls bowled (+94%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 448 balls bowled.

Sample: 448 balls · medium confidence

Away from home: average of 36.8, 3.9 above their average of 32.9 on all balls bowled (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1110 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,110 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 43.8, 10.9 above their average of 32.9 on all balls bowled (+33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 240 balls bowled.

Sample: 240 balls · low confidence

Powerplay (1-10): economy of 4.96, 1.02 below their economy of 5.98 on all balls bowled (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 762 balls bowled.

Sample: 762 balls · high confidence

At home: average of 25.8, 7.1 below their average of 32.9 on all balls bowled (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 474 balls bowled.

Sample: 474 balls · medium confidence

West Indies: average of 25.8, 7.1 below their average of 32.9 on all balls bowled (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 474 balls bowled.

Sample: 474 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 29.1, 3.8 below their average of 32.9 on all balls bowled (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 360 balls bowled.

Sample: 360 balls · medium confidence