Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

T Duffin, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

West Indies: average of 16.2, 8.7 below their average of 24.9 on all balls faced (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 247 balls faced.
Sample: 247 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 16.5, 8.4 below their average of 24.9 on all balls faced (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 165 balls faced.
Sample: 165 balls · low confidence
Powerplay (1-10): average of 16.0, 8.9 below their average of 24.9 on all balls faced (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 219 balls faced.
Sample: 219 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Middle (11-40): average of 41.7, 16.8 above their average of 24.9 on all balls faced (+67%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 240 balls faced.
Sample: 240 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 52.1, 4.7 above their strike rate of 47.4 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 240 balls faced.
Sample: 240 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 45.5, 20.6 above their average of 24.9 on all balls faced (+83%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 155 balls faced.
Sample: 155 balls · low confidence
South Africa: average of 45.5, 20.6 above their average of 24.9 on all balls faced (+83%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 155 balls faced.
Sample: 155 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 38.3, 13.4 above their average of 24.9 on all balls faced (+54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 209 balls faced.
Sample: 209 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 55.0, 7.7 above their strike rate of 47.4 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 209 balls faced.
Sample: 209 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	209	115	3	38.33	55.02	61.2%	5.3%
Right-arm fast	90	16	3	5.33	17.78	83.3%	0.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	240	125	3	41.67	52.08	67.1%	5.8%
Powerplay (1-10)	219	80	5	16.00	36.53	74.4%	3.2%