Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

TM Dilshan, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

England: average of 24.9, 16.4 below their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (-40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 492 balls faced.
Sample: 492 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): average of 26.1, 15.2 below their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (-37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -7%) — 815 balls faced.
Sample: 815 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 28.4, 12.9 below their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 1239 balls faced.
Sample: 1,239 balls · high confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 73.8, 13.6 below their strike rate of 87.4 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 1261 balls faced.
Sample: 1,261 balls · high confidence
England: average of 34.5, 6.8 below their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1090 balls faced.
Sample: 1,090 balls · high confidence
Left-arm fast-medium: average of 33.3, 8.0 below their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 1478 balls faced.
Sample: 1,478 balls · high confidence
Bangladesh: average of 24.5, 16.8 below their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (-41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 297 balls faced.
Sample: 297 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 24.9, 16.4 below their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (-40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 261 balls faced.
Sample: 261 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 91.4, 4.0 above their strike rate of 87.4 on all balls faced (+5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 3858 balls faced.
Sample: 3,858 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast: strike rate of 103.3, 15.8 above their strike rate of 87.4 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 860 balls faced.
Sample: 860 balls · high confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 125.0, 83.7 above their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (+203%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +13%) — 471 balls faced.
Sample: 471 balls · high confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 62.1, 20.8 above their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (+50%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 1261 balls faced.
Sample: 1,261 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 51.2, 9.8 above their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 1120 balls faced.
Sample: 1,120 balls · high confidence
Bangladesh: average of 60.2, 18.8 above their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (+46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 802 balls faced.
Sample: 802 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 46.8, 5.5 above their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1641 balls faced.
Sample: 1,641 balls · high confidence
Right-arm medium: strike rate of 94.4, 6.9 above their strike rate of 87.4 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 905 balls faced.
Sample: 905 balls · high confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Right-handed batters: average of 57.7, 9.9 above their average of 47.8 on all balls bowled (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2966 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,966 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 95.8, 48.0 above their average of 47.8 on all balls bowled (+100%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 731 balls bowled.
Sample: 731 balls · high confidence
India: average of 80.8, 33.0 above their average of 47.8 on all balls bowled (+69%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +13%) — 820 balls bowled.
Sample: 820 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 54.0, 6.1 above their average of 47.8 on all balls bowled (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 2962 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,962 balls · high confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

England: average of 34.4, 13.4 below their average of 47.8 on all balls bowled (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 873 balls bowled.
Sample: 873 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 38.2, 9.6 below their average of 47.8 on all balls bowled (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 2107 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,107 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 40.9, 6.9 below their average of 47.8 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 2093 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,093 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-10): strike rate of 38.4, 19.9 below their strike rate of 58.3 on all balls bowled (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +15%) — 384 balls bowled.
Sample: 384 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	3,269	2,887	73	39.55	88.31	53.1%	11.6%
Off break	1,861	1,624	38	42.74	87.26	39.6%	6.6%
Left-arm fast-medium	1,478	1,299	39	33.31	87.89	54.9%	12.2%
Slow left-arm orthodox	1,261	931	15	62.07	73.83	49.1%	6.0%
Right-arm medium	905	854	16	53.38	94.36	48.2%	11.8%
Right-arm fast	860	888	23	38.61	103.26	51.4%	15.8%
Leg break	423	344	10	34.40	81.32	41.1%	5.7%
Left-arm fast	375	324	8	40.50	86.40	53.9%	12.0%
Left-arm wrist spin	64	37

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,966	2,481	43	57.70	5.02	69.0	42.1%	5.0%
Left-handed batters	2,107	1,680	44	38.18	4.78	47.9	48.6%	6.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	4,122	3,315	61	54.34	4.83	67.6	43.6%	4.7%
Death (41-50)	567	532	16	33.25	5.63	35.4	42.3%	7.2%
Powerplay (1-10)	384	314	10	31.40	4.91	38.4	61.7%	9.9%

Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	5,865	4,744	108	43.93	80.89	46.3%	7.0%
Powerplay (1-10)	3,858	3,527	79	44.65	91.42	58.3%	14.7%
Death (41-50)	815	941	36	26.14	115.46	30.8%	11.7%