Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

TM McGrath, Women's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 73.5, 14.4 below their strike rate of 87.9 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 705 balls faced.
Sample: 705 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 25.9, 1.9 below their average of 27.8 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 705 balls faced.
Sample: 705 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 23.0, 4.8 below their average of 27.8 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 499 balls faced.
Sample: 499 balls · high confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 25, 7 below their balls per dismissal of 32 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 417 balls faced.
Sample: 417 balls · medium confidence
England: average of 17.7, 10.1 below their average of 27.8 on all balls faced (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 261 balls faced.
Sample: 261 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 17.1, 10.6 below their average of 27.8 on all balls faced (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 152 balls faced.
Sample: 152 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 47, 16 above their balls per dismissal of 32 on all balls faced (+49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 472 balls faced.
Sample: 472 balls · high confidence
India: average of 43.6, 15.9 above their average of 27.8 on all balls faced (+57%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 318 balls faced.
Sample: 318 balls · medium confidence
Off break: average of 34.3, 6.5 above their average of 27.8 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 259 balls faced.
Sample: 259 balls · medium confidence
Australia: average of 32.0, 4.2 above their average of 27.8 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 343 balls faced.
Sample: 343 balls · medium confidence
New Zealand: average of 39.0, 11.2 above their average of 27.8 on all balls faced (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 164 balls faced.
Sample: 164 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Right-handed batters: average of 36.0, 5.6 above their average of 30.4 on all balls bowled (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 930 balls bowled.
Sample: 930 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 41.5, 11.1 above their average of 30.4 on all balls bowled (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 557 balls bowled.
Sample: 557 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 53.6, 23.3 above their average of 30.4 on all balls bowled (+77%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +10%) — 425 balls bowled.
Sample: 425 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Australia: average of 19.4, 10.9 below their average of 30.4 on all balls bowled (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 367 balls bowled.
Sample: 367 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 19.4, 10.9 below their average of 30.4 on all balls bowled (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 367 balls bowled.
Sample: 367 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm medium	275	258	9	28.67	93.82	49.1%	13.1%
Off break	259	240	7	34.29	92.66	48.3%	10.8%
Right-arm fast-medium	181	166	6	27.67	91.71	49.7%	12.2%
Slow left-arm orthodox	152	120	7	17.14	78.95	58.6%	11.8%
Leg break	107	73	2	36.50	68.22	57.9%	7.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	705	518	20	25.90	73.48	54.9%	8.2%
Death (41-50)	222	297	11	27.00

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	930	828	23	36.00	5.34	40.4	48.5%	8.7%
Left-handed batters	230	174	10	17.40	4.54	23.0	53.0%	6.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	910	749	23	32.57	4.94	39.6	49.2%	7.4%
Death (41-50)	176	196	7	28.00	6.68	25.1	43.8%	13.6%