Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

TT Bresnan, Men's ODI

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Chasing: average of 16.2, 4.0 below their average of 20.3 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 448 balls faced.
Sample: 448 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 79.7, 10.5 below their strike rate of 90.3 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 449 balls faced.
Sample: 449 balls · medium confidence
Off break: strike rate of 70.1, 20.1 below their strike rate of 90.3 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 174 balls faced.
Sample: 174 balls · low confidence
India: average of 13.9, 6.4 below their average of 20.3 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 157 balls faced.
Sample: 157 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast: average of 14.3, 6.0 below their average of 20.3 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 193 balls faced.
Sample: 193 balls · low confidence
India: average of 15.7, 4.6 below their average of 20.3 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 182 balls faced.
Sample: 182 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Batting first: average of 24.5, 4.2 above their average of 20.3 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 517 balls faced.
Sample: 517 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 42.0, 21.7 above their average of 20.3 on all balls faced (+107%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 445 balls faced.
Sample: 445 balls · medium confidence
Middle (11-40): average of 25.6, 5.3 above their average of 20.3 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 449 balls faced.
Sample: 449 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast: strike rate of 103.6, 13.4 above their strike rate of 90.3 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 193 balls faced.
Sample: 193 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 26.0, 5.7 above their average of 20.3 on all balls faced (+28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 223 balls faced.
Sample: 223 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

At home: average of 40.8, 5.5 above their average of 35.3 on all balls bowled (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 2322 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,322 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): economy of 7.57, 2.13 above their economy of 5.43 on all balls bowled (+39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +19%) — 785 balls bowled.
Sample: 785 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): strike rate of 49.3, 10.3 above their strike rate of 39.0 on all balls bowled (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 2170 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,170 balls · high confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 50.4, 15.1 above their average of 35.3 on all balls bowled (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 510 balls bowled.
Sample: 510 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Away from home: average of 29.9, 5.4 below their average of 35.3 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1851 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,851 balls · high confidence
Middle (11-40): economy of 4.94, 0.50 below their economy of 5.43 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 2170 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,170 balls · high confidence
Death (41-50): strike rate of 21.2, 17.8 below their strike rate of 39.0 on all balls bowled (-46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -23%) — 785 balls bowled.
Sample: 785 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 22.6, 12.7 below their average of 35.3 on all balls bowled (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 374 balls bowled.
Sample: 374 balls · medium confidence
Bangladesh: average of 20.1, 15.2 below their average of 35.3 on all balls bowled (-43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 330 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	223	208	8	26.00	93.27	46.2%	11.7%
Right-arm fast	193	200	14	14.29	103.63	45.1%	13.5%
Off break	174	122	6	20.33	70.11	48.3%	5.7%
Right-arm medium	112	107	3	35.67	95.54	37.5%	9.8%
Left-arm fast-medium	93	68	6	11.33	73.12	48.4%	4.3%
Slow left-arm orthodox	78	65	3	21.67	83.33	52.6%	9.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (41-50)	516	513	29	17.69

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,911	2,643	78	33.88	5.45	37.3	51.4%	10.4%
Left-handed batters	1,262	1,136	29	39.17	5.40	43.5	51.7%	10.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	2,170	1,785	44	40.57	4.94	49.3	51.3%	7.9%
Powerplay (1-10)	1,218	1,004	26	38.62	4.95	46.8	63.7%	11.9%
Death (41-50)	785	990	37	26.76	7.57	21.2	33.2%	14.6%