Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

UDU Chandana, Men's ODI

Middle (11-40): strike rate of 50.2, 16.2 below their strike rate of 66.4 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 239 balls faced.
Sample: 239 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 12.9, 4.5 below their average of 17.4 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 156 balls faced.
Sample: 156 balls · low confidence

Away from home: average of 26.3, 8.9 above their average of 17.4 on all balls faced (+51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 279 balls faced.
Sample: 279 balls · medium confidence
Batting first: average of 24.1, 6.7 above their average of 17.4 on all balls faced (+39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 276 balls faced.
Sample: 276 balls · medium confidence
Pace: average of 21.4, 4.0 above their average of 17.4 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 237 balls faced.
Sample: 237 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: economy of 5.44, 0.56 above their economy of 4.88 on all balls bowled (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 268 balls bowled.
Sample: 268 balls · low confidence

Middle (11-40): economy of 4.45, 0.43 below their economy of 4.88 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 1038 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,038 balls · high confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	105	77	4	19.25	73.33	61.9%	8.6%
Off break	90	53	4	13.25	58.89	52.2%	2.2%
Right-arm medium	78	60	0	–	76.92	51.3%	7.7%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	239	120	6	20.00	50.21	64.9%	3.3%
Death (41-50)	154	141	9	15.67	91.56	41.6%	8.4%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	967	761	26	29.27	4.72	37.2	52.1%	6.3%
Left-handed batters	268	243	10	24.30	5.44	26.8	46.3%	7.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (11-40)	1,038	770	25	30.80	4.45	41.5	53.2%	5.7%
Death (41-50)	197	234	11	21.27	7.13	17.9	38.6%	11.2%