Plans built only from the evidence.

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 96.7, 21.9 below their strike rate of 118.6 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 666 balls faced.

Sample: 666 balls · high confidence

Chasing: average of 21.2, 6.2 below their average of 27.4 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 460 balls faced.

Sample: 460 balls · high confidence

Pace: average of 23.3, 4.1 below their average of 27.4 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 624 balls faced.

Sample: 624 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 21.3, 6.1 below their average of 27.4 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 362 balls faced.

Sample: 362 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 21.3, 6.1 below their average of 27.4 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 362 balls faced.

Sample: 362 balls · medium confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 19, 4 below their balls per dismissal of 23 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 363 balls faced.

Sample: 363 balls · medium confidence

Bangladesh: average of 21.4, 6.0 below their average of 27.4 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 160 balls faced.

Sample: 160 balls · low confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 101.5, 17.1 below their strike rate of 118.6 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 195 balls faced.

Sample: 195 balls · low confidence

Away from home: average of 35.1, 7.7 above their average of 27.4 on all balls faced (+28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 703 balls faced.

Sample: 703 balls · high confidence

Spin: average of 36.7, 9.3 above their average of 27.4 on all balls faced (+34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 508 balls faced.

Sample: 508 balls · high confidence

Batting first: average of 32.9, 5.5 above their average of 27.4 on all balls faced (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 672 balls faced.

Sample: 672 balls · high confidence

Death (16-20): strike rate of 165.3, 46.7 above their strike rate of 118.6 on all balls faced (+39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 375 balls faced.

Sample: 375 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 136.7, 18.1 above their strike rate of 118.6 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 256 balls faced.

Sample: 256 balls · medium confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 99.0, 71.6 above their average of 27.4 on all balls faced (+261%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 195 balls faced.

Sample: 195 balls · low confidence