Plans built only from the evidence.

Batting first: average of 18.3, 5.8 below their average of 24.0 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 329 balls faced.

Sample: 329 balls · medium confidence

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 83.1, 6.4 below their strike rate of 89.5 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 349 balls faced.

Sample: 349 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm medium: strike rate of 77.6, 11.9 below their strike rate of 89.5 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 161 balls faced.

Sample: 161 balls · low confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 17, 10 below their balls per dismissal of 27 on all balls faced (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 188 balls faced.

Sample: 188 balls · low confidence

Right-arm medium: average of 20.8, 3.2 below their average of 24.0 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 161 balls faced.

Sample: 161 balls · low confidence

Death (16-20): average of 16.5, 7.5 below their average of 24.0 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 185 balls faced.

Sample: 185 balls · low confidence

England: average of 16.4, 7.7 below their average of 24.0 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 208 balls faced.

Sample: 208 balls · low confidence

Chasing: average of 36.4, 12.4 above their average of 24.0 on all balls faced (+51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 262 balls faced.

Sample: 262 balls · medium confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 39, 12 above their balls per dismissal of 27 on all balls faced (+44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 388 balls faced.

Sample: 388 balls · medium confidence

Middle (7-15): average of 32.2, 8.2 above their average of 24.0 on all balls faced (+34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 349 balls faced.

Sample: 349 balls · medium confidence