Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

AR Patel, Men's T20I

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Death (16-20): average of 13.3, 4.0 below their average of 17.3 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 317 balls faced.
Sample: 317 balls · medium confidence
Pace: average of 15.8, 1.4 below their average of 17.3 on all balls faced (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 428 balls faced.
Sample: 428 balls · medium confidence
Chasing: average of 13.5, 3.8 below their average of 17.3 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 218 balls faced.
Sample: 218 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 14.8, 2.5 below their average of 17.3 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 198 balls faced.
Sample: 198 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Batting first: average of 20.1, 2.8 above their average of 17.3 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 416 balls faced.
Sample: 416 balls · medium confidence
Middle (7-15): average of 22.9, 5.6 above their average of 17.3 on all balls faced (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 257 balls faced.
Sample: 257 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 21.5, 4.3 above their average of 17.3 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 187 balls faced.
Sample: 187 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Away from home: average of 29.6, 5.4 above their average of 24.2 on all balls bowled (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 932 balls bowled.
Sample: 932 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 9.27, 1.32 above their economy of 7.95 on all balls bowled (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 435 balls bowled.
Sample: 435 balls · medium confidence
Middle (7-15): strike rate of 21.4, 3.2 above their strike rate of 18.2 on all balls bowled (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 1284 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,284 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 33.6, 9.4 above their average of 24.2 on all balls bowled (+39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 435 balls bowled.
Sample: 435 balls · medium confidence
England: average of 32.5, 8.3 above their average of 24.2 on all balls bowled (+35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 264 balls bowled.
Sample: 264 balls · low confidence
South Africa: average of 30.3, 6.1 above their average of 24.2 on all balls bowled (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 281 balls bowled.
Sample: 281 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Right-handed batters: economy of 7.54, 0.40 below their economy of 7.95 on all balls bowled (-5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1500 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,500 balls · high confidence
India: average of 21.9, 2.2 below their average of 24.2 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 888 balls bowled.
Sample: 888 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 21.9, 2.2 below their average of 24.2 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 1500 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	198	252	17	14.82	127.27	35.4%	13.6%
Right-arm fast	108	132	7	18.86	122.22	35.2%	15.7%
Left-arm fast-medium	96	132	7	18.86	137.50	30.2%	15.6%
Off break	64	79	2	39.50	123.44	21.9%	9.4%
Slow left-arm orthodox	62	77	4	19.25	124.19	29.0%	12.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (16-20)	317	425	32	13.28	134.07	30.3%	13.9%
Middle (7-15)	257	320	14	22.86

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,500	1,886	86	21.93	7.54	17.4	39.4%	15.2%
Left-handed batters	435	672	20	33.60	9.27	21.8	32.0%	19.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (7-15)	1,284	1,682	60	28.03	7.86	21.4	34.4%	14.6%
Powerplay (1-6)	444	575	28	20.54	7.77	15.9	46.6%	20.0%
Death (16-20)	224	328	19	17.26	8.79	11.8	37.9%	17.9%