Plans built only from the evidence.

Right-arm medium: strike rate of 86.8, 11.3 below their strike rate of 98.1 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 780 balls faced.

Sample: 780 balls · high confidence

Scotland: average of 12.4, 11.9 below their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (-49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 231 balls faced.

Sample: 231 balls · medium confidence

Netherlands: average of 22.0, 2.3 below their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 406 balls faced.

Sample: 406 balls · medium confidence

Off break: average of 20.3, 3.9 below their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 319 balls faced.

Sample: 319 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 22.0, 2.3 below their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 406 balls faced.

Sample: 406 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 87.4, 10.7 below their strike rate of 98.1 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 199 balls faced.

Sample: 199 balls · low confidence

Death (16-20): average of 16.5, 7.8 below their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 166 balls faced.

Sample: 166 balls · low confidence

Leg break: average of 19.1, 5.2 below their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 160 balls faced.

Sample: 160 balls · low confidence

Powerplay (1-6): average of 30.3, 6.0 above their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 743 balls faced.

Sample: 743 balls · high confidence

Off break: strike rate of 114.7, 16.6 above their strike rate of 98.1 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 319 balls faced.

Sample: 319 balls · medium confidence

Away from home: average of 26.8, 2.5 above their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 635 balls faced.

Sample: 635 balls · high confidence

England: average of 43.8, 19.5 above their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (+80%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 182 balls faced.

Sample: 182 balls · low confidence

Italy: average of 111.5, 87.2 above their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (+359%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +16%) — 174 balls faced.

Sample: 174 balls · low confidence