Plans built only from the evidence.

Death (16-20): economy of 8.59, 1.61 above their economy of 6.98 on all balls bowled (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 572 balls bowled.

Sample: 572 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 23.2, 1.6 above their average of 21.6 on all balls bowled (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 995 balls bowled.

Sample: 995 balls · high confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 25.7, 4.1 above their average of 21.6 on all balls bowled (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 696 balls bowled.

Sample: 696 balls · medium confidence

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 38.0, 19.5 above their strike rate of 18.5 on all balls bowled (+105%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 266 balls bowled.

Sample: 266 balls · low confidence

Pakistan: average of 37.2, 15.6 above their average of 21.6 on all balls bowled (+73%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 260 balls bowled.

Sample: 260 balls · low confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 18.9, 2.7 below their average of 21.6 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 1119 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,119 balls · high confidence

Powerplay (1-6): economy of 6.28, 0.70 below their economy of 6.98 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1035 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,035 balls · high confidence

Away from home: average of 20.0, 1.6 below their average of 21.6 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 878 balls bowled.

Sample: 878 balls · high confidence

Bangladesh: average of 15.6, 6.0 below their average of 21.6 on all balls bowled (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 271 balls bowled.

Sample: 271 balls · low confidence

Middle (7-15): economy of 6.23, 0.75 below their economy of 6.98 on all balls bowled (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 266 balls bowled.

Sample: 266 balls · low confidence