Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

BJ McCarthy, Men's T20I

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 12, 1 below their balls per dismissal of 14 on all balls faced (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 211 balls faced.
Sample: 211 balls · low confidence

Chasing: average of 19.3, 3.1 above their average of 16.3 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 152 balls faced.
Sample: 152 balls · low confidence
Pace: average of 18.5, 2.2 above their average of 16.3 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 188 balls faced.
Sample: 188 balls · low confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 36.4, 5.4 above their average of 30.9 on all balls bowled (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 882 balls bowled.
Sample: 882 balls · high confidence
Death (16-20): economy of 10.52, 1.84 above their economy of 8.69 on all balls bowled (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 382 balls bowled.
Sample: 382 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 62.4, 31.5 above their average of 30.9 on all balls bowled (+102%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 286 balls bowled.
Sample: 286 balls · low confidence
Ireland: average of 62.4, 31.5 above their average of 30.9 on all balls bowled (+102%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 286 balls bowled.
Sample: 286 balls · low confidence
Middle (7-15): strike rate of 30.7, 9.4 above their strike rate of 21.4 on all balls bowled (+44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 338 balls bowled.
Sample: 338 balls · low confidence

Away from home: average of 27.0, 4.0 below their average of 30.9 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 891 balls bowled.
Sample: 891 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-6): economy of 7.60, 1.09 below their economy of 8.69 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 541 balls bowled.
Sample: 541 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 22.9, 8.0 below their average of 30.9 on all balls bowled (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 347 balls bowled.
Sample: 347 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	99	125	8	15.63	126.26	37.4%	16.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (16-20)	172	232	14	16.57	134.88	36.0%	17.4%
Middle (7-15)	72	61	4	15.25	84.72	44.4%	6.9%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	882	1,309	36	36.36	8.90	24.5	35.5%	18.7%
Left-handed batters	347	481	21	22.90	8.32	16.5	39.2%	18.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-6)	541	685	22	31.14	7.60	24.6	44.7%	18.1%
Death (16-20)	382	670	26	25.77	10.52	14.7	29.8%	22.0%
Middle (7-15)	338	471	11	42.82	8.36	30.7	31.7%	15.1%