Plans built only from the evidence.

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 38.8, 11.9 above their strike rate of 26.9 on all balls bowled (+44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 621 balls bowled.

Sample: 621 balls · medium confidence

India: average of 49.5, 21.7 above their average of 27.8 on all balls bowled (+78%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 252 balls bowled.

Sample: 252 balls · low confidence

Left-handed batters: economy of 7.40, 1.20 above their economy of 6.20 on all balls bowled (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 325 balls bowled.

Sample: 325 balls · low confidence

Pakistan: average of 20.9, 7.0 below their average of 27.8 on all balls bowled (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 378 balls bowled.

Sample: 378 balls · medium confidence

Death (16-20): strike rate of 18.0, 8.9 below their strike rate of 26.9 on all balls bowled (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: -16%) — 415 balls bowled.

Sample: 415 balls · medium confidence