Plans built only from the evidence.

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 107.9, 23.9 below their strike rate of 131.9 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 429 balls faced.

Sample: 429 balls · medium confidence

Batting first: average of 18.6, 1.2 below their average of 19.8 on all balls faced (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 520 balls faced.

Sample: 520 balls · high confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 12.1, 7.6 below their average of 19.8 on all balls faced (-39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 165 balls faced.

Sample: 165 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 117.6, 14.2 below their strike rate of 131.9 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 170 balls faced.

Sample: 170 balls · low confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 110.3, 21.6 below their strike rate of 131.9 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 165 balls faced.

Sample: 165 balls · low confidence

England: average of 13.4, 6.4 below their average of 19.8 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 200 balls faced.

Sample: 200 balls · low confidence

Right-arm medium: strike rate of 149.3, 17.5 above their strike rate of 131.9 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 229 balls faced.

Sample: 229 balls · medium confidence

Middle (7-15): average of 25.7, 5.9 above their average of 19.8 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 429 balls faced.

Sample: 429 balls · medium confidence

Chasing: average of 21.3, 1.5 above their average of 19.8 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 440 balls faced.

Sample: 440 balls · medium confidence

India: average of 27.3, 7.5 above their average of 19.8 on all balls faced (+38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 176 balls faced.

Sample: 176 balls · low confidence

Off break: strike rate of 144.1, 12.2 above their strike rate of 131.9 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 202 balls faced.

Sample: 202 balls · low confidence

Off break: average of 26.5, 6.7 above their average of 19.8 on all balls faced (+34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 202 balls faced.

Sample: 202 balls · low confidence

New Zealand: average of 23.1, 3.3 above their average of 19.8 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 173 balls faced.

Sample: 173 balls · low confidence

Leg break: average of 25.8, 6.0 above their average of 19.8 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 152 balls faced.

Sample: 152 balls · low confidence