Plans built only from the evidence.

Batting first: average of 27.2, 5.4 below their average of 32.7 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 785 balls faced.

Sample: 785 balls · high confidence

Middle (7-15): average of 30.9, 1.7 below their average of 32.7 on all balls faced (-5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 774 balls faced.

Sample: 774 balls · high confidence

Death (16-20): average of 21.4, 11.2 below their average of 32.7 on all balls faced (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 236 balls faced.

Sample: 236 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 26.3, 6.3 below their average of 32.7 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 237 balls faced.

Sample: 237 balls · medium confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 14, 20 below their balls per dismissal of 34 on all balls faced (-60%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 176 balls faced.

Sample: 176 balls · low confidence

Pakistan: average of 21.3, 11.3 below their average of 32.7 on all balls faced (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 157 balls faced.

Sample: 157 balls · low confidence

West Indies: average of 22.2, 10.4 below their average of 32.7 on all balls faced (-32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 205 balls faced.

Sample: 205 balls · low confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 22.9, 9.8 below their average of 32.7 on all balls faced (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 211 balls faced.

Sample: 211 balls · low confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 58, 25 above their balls per dismissal of 34 on all balls faced (+73%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 818 balls faced.

Sample: 818 balls · high confidence

Powerplay (1-6): average of 49.2, 16.6 above their average of 32.7 on all balls faced (+51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 679 balls faced.

Sample: 679 balls · high confidence

Chasing: average of 39.6, 6.9 above their average of 32.7 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 904 balls faced.

Sample: 904 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 67.8, 35.1 above their average of 32.7 on all balls faced (+108%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 368 balls faced.

Sample: 368 balls · medium confidence

Pace: average of 38.3, 5.6 above their average of 32.7 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 825 balls faced.

Sample: 825 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 61.7, 29.0 above their average of 32.7 on all balls faced (+89%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 226 balls faced.

Sample: 226 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm medium: average of 43.1, 10.4 above their average of 32.7 on all balls faced (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 434 balls faced.

Sample: 434 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 36.1, 3.5 above their average of 32.7 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 289 balls faced.

Sample: 289 balls · medium confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 108.5, 11.8 above their strike rate of 96.7 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 211 balls faced.

Sample: 211 balls · low confidence