Plans built only from the evidence.

Right-arm medium: strike rate of 48.7, 6.4 below their strike rate of 55.0 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 335 balls faced.

Sample: 335 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm medium: average of 10.9, 2.3 below their average of 13.2 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 335 balls faced.

Sample: 335 balls · medium confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 15, 9 below their balls per dismissal of 24 on all balls faced (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 164 balls faced.

Sample: 164 balls · low confidence

Middle (7-15): average of 10.6, 2.6 below their average of 13.2 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 171 balls faced.

Sample: 171 balls · low confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 35, 11 above their balls per dismissal of 24 on all balls faced (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 282 balls faced.

Sample: 282 balls · medium confidence

Batting first: average of 15.2, 2.1 above their average of 13.2 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 360 balls faced.

Sample: 360 balls · medium confidence