Plans built only from the evidence.

Spin: average of 18.0, 5.2 below their average of 23.2 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 397 balls faced.

Sample: 397 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 18.0, 5.3 below their average of 23.2 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 296 balls faced.

Sample: 296 balls · medium confidence

West Indies: average of 18.0, 5.3 below their average of 23.2 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 296 balls faced.

Sample: 296 balls · medium confidence

Chasing: average of 20.2, 3.0 below their average of 23.2 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 398 balls faced.

Sample: 398 balls · medium confidence

Middle (7-15): average of 21.7, 1.5 below their average of 23.2 on all balls faced (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 355 balls faced.

Sample: 355 balls · medium confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 102.1, 25.9 below their strike rate of 128.0 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 190 balls faced.

Sample: 190 balls · low confidence

Away from home: average of 26.6, 3.4 above their average of 23.2 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 808 balls faced.

Sample: 808 balls · high confidence

Pace: average of 27.0, 3.8 above their average of 23.2 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 703 balls faced.

Sample: 703 balls · high confidence

Batting first: average of 25.3, 2.1 above their average of 23.2 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 708 balls faced.

Sample: 708 balls · high confidence

England: average of 25.9, 2.7 above their average of 23.2 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 257 balls faced.

Sample: 257 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 44.0, 20.8 above their average of 23.2 on all balls faced (+90%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 154 balls faced.

Sample: 154 balls · low confidence

Australia: average of 37.5, 14.3 above their average of 23.2 on all balls faced (+62%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 161 balls faced.

Sample: 161 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast: strike rate of 142.9, 14.8 above their strike rate of 128.0 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 154 balls faced.

Sample: 154 balls · low confidence

United States of America: average of 43.4, 20.2 above their average of 23.2 on all balls faced (+87%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +17%) — 155 balls faced.

Sample: 155 balls · low confidence