Plans built only from the evidence.

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 97.4, 27.3 below their strike rate of 124.7 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 309 balls faced.

Sample: 309 balls · medium confidence

Pace: average of 25.5, 2.2 below their average of 27.7 on all balls faced (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 328 balls faced.

Sample: 328 balls · medium confidence

Chasing: average of 14.7, 13.0 below their average of 27.7 on all balls faced (-47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 165 balls faced.

Sample: 165 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 21.9, 5.8 below their average of 27.7 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 155 balls faced.

Sample: 155 balls · low confidence

Batting first: average of 44.2, 16.5 above their average of 27.7 on all balls faced (+60%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 390 balls faced.

Sample: 390 balls · medium confidence

Middle (7-15): average of 37.6, 9.9 above their average of 27.7 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 309 balls faced.

Sample: 309 balls · medium confidence

Spin: average of 34.7, 7.0 above their average of 27.7 on all balls faced (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 227 balls faced.

Sample: 227 balls · medium confidence

Death (16-20): strike rate of 164.5, 39.8 above their strike rate of 124.7 on all balls faced (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 234 balls faced.

Sample: 234 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 141.3, 16.6 above their strike rate of 124.7 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 155 balls faced.

Sample: 155 balls · low confidence