Plans built only from the evidence.

Death (16-20): average of 21.5, 15.0 below their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (-41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 364 balls faced.

Sample: 364 balls · medium confidence

Chasing: average of 32.8, 3.7 below their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 1346 balls faced.

Sample: 1,346 balls · high confidence

Away from home: average of 33.5, 3.0 below their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 1882 balls faced.

Sample: 1,882 balls · high confidence

India: average of 33.9, 2.6 below their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 429 balls faced.

Sample: 429 balls · medium confidence

Leg break: average of 31.6, 4.9 below their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 382 balls faced.

Sample: 382 balls · medium confidence

Leg break: strike rate of 140.8, 9.8 below their strike rate of 150.6 on all balls faced (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 382 balls faced.

Sample: 382 balls · medium confidence

Pakistan: average of 27.2, 9.3 below their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 218 balls faced.

Sample: 218 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast: strike rate of 165.4, 14.8 above their strike rate of 150.6 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 486 balls faced.

Sample: 486 balls · high confidence

Powerplay (1-6): average of 46.0, 9.5 above their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1204 balls faced.

Sample: 1,204 balls · high confidence

Batting first: average of 40.4, 3.9 above their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1539 balls faced.

Sample: 1,539 balls · high confidence

At home: average of 42.9, 6.4 above their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1003 balls faced.

Sample: 1,003 balls · high confidence

England: average of 44.5, 8.0 above their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 869 balls faced.

Sample: 869 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 58.6, 22.1 above their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (+61%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 430 balls faced.

Sample: 430 balls · medium confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 165.0, 14.4 above their strike rate of 150.6 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 257 balls faced.

Sample: 257 balls · medium confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: average of 53.0, 16.5 above their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (+45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 257 balls faced.

Sample: 257 balls · medium confidence

United Arab Emirates: average of 45.9, 9.3 above their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 228 balls faced.

Sample: 228 balls · medium confidence