Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

JJ Smit, Men's T20I

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Pace: average of 27.6, 5.2 below their average of 32.8 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 545 balls faced.
Sample: 545 balls · high confidence
Middle (7-15): strike rate of 130.8, 14.8 below their strike rate of 145.5 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 452 balls faced.
Sample: 452 balls · high confidence
Chasing: average of 24.2, 8.6 below their average of 32.8 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 329 balls faced.
Sample: 329 balls · medium confidence
Away from home: average of 29.5, 3.3 below their average of 32.8 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 531 balls faced.
Sample: 531 balls · high confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 17, 5 below their balls per dismissal of 23 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 224 balls faced.
Sample: 224 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Batting first: average of 39.8, 7.0 above their average of 32.8 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 572 balls faced.
Sample: 572 balls · high confidence
Middle (7-15): average of 45.5, 12.7 above their average of 32.8 on all balls faced (+39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 452 balls faced.
Sample: 452 balls · high confidence
Spin: average of 44.0, 11.2 above their average of 32.8 on all balls faced (+34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 330 balls faced.
Sample: 330 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 38.9, 6.1 above their average of 32.8 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 370 balls faced.
Sample: 370 balls · medium confidence
Namibia: average of 38.9, 6.1 above their average of 32.8 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 370 balls faced.
Sample: 370 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 256.0, 223.2 above their average of 32.8 on all balls faced (+681%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 167 balls faced.
Sample: 167 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Away from home: average of 22.4, 5.0 above their average of 17.4 on all balls bowled (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 691 balls bowled.
Sample: 691 balls · medium confidence
Death (16-20): economy of 8.30, 1.27 above their economy of 7.03 on all balls bowled (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 375 balls bowled.
Sample: 375 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 25.5, 8.1 above their average of 17.4 on all balls bowled (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 304 balls bowled.
Sample: 304 balls · low confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 8.05, 1.02 above their economy of 7.03 on all balls bowled (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 304 balls bowled.
Sample: 304 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Right-handed batters: average of 15.9, 1.5 below their average of 17.4 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 818 balls bowled.
Sample: 818 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 12.5, 4.9 below their average of 17.4 on all balls bowled (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 452 balls bowled.
Sample: 452 balls · medium confidence
Namibia: average of 12.5, 4.9 below their average of 17.4 on all balls bowled (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +16%) — 452 balls bowled.
Sample: 452 balls · medium confidence
Powerplay (1-6): economy of 6.30, 0.73 below their economy of 7.03 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 534 balls bowled.
Sample: 534 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	231	332	11	30.18	143.72	31.6%	19.0%
Slow left-arm orthodox	167	256	1	256.00	153.29	31.1%	17.4%
Right-arm medium	145	260	7	37.14	179.31	23.4%	22.8%
Off break	85	129	7	18.43	151.76	30.6%	16.5%
Leg break	78	99	3	33.00	126.92	30.8%	10.3%
Left-arm fast-medium	77	104	4	26.00	135.06	33.8%	16.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (7-15)	452	591	13	45.46

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	818	923	58	15.91	6.77	14.1	41.6%	11.6%
Left-handed batters	304	408	16	25.50	8.05	19.0	36.8%	15.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-6)	534	561	31	18.10	6.30	17.2	50.2%	13.3%
Death (16-20)	375	519	36	14.42	8.30	10.4	32.0%	13.9%
Middle (7-15)	234	260	10	26.00	6.67	23.4	34.2%	9.0%