Plans built only from the evidence.

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 107.7, 12.2 below their strike rate of 119.9 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 297 balls faced.

Sample: 297 balls · medium confidence

Powerplay (1-6): strike rate of 103.6, 16.3 below their strike rate of 119.9 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 411 balls faced.

Sample: 411 balls · medium confidence

Chasing: average of 19.2, 3.2 below their average of 22.4 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 276 balls faced.

Sample: 276 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 20.0, 2.4 below their average of 22.4 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 297 balls faced.

Sample: 297 balls · medium confidence

Australia: average of 52.3, 29.9 above their average of 22.4 on all balls faced (+133%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 265 balls faced.

Sample: 265 balls · medium confidence

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 136.5, 16.6 above their strike rate of 119.9 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 299 balls faced.

Sample: 299 balls · medium confidence

Batting first: average of 24.5, 2.1 above their average of 22.4 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 528 balls faced.

Sample: 528 balls · high confidence

West Indies: average of 27.0, 4.6 above their average of 22.4 on all balls faced (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 229 balls faced.

Sample: 229 balls · medium confidence

Middle (7-15): average of 27.2, 4.8 above their average of 22.4 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 299 balls faced.

Sample: 299 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 30.5, 8.1 above their average of 22.4 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 194 balls faced.

Sample: 194 balls · low confidence