Plans built only from the evidence.

Batting first: average of 10.8, 1.9 below their average of 12.7 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 250 balls faced.

Sample: 250 balls · medium confidence

Pace: average of 11.0, 1.7 below their average of 12.7 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 216 balls faced.

Sample: 216 balls · low confidence

Powerplay (1-6): strike rate of 51.6, 21.7 below their strike rate of 73.3 on all balls faced (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 157 balls faced.

Sample: 157 balls · low confidence

Right-arm medium: average of 10.0, 2.7 below their average of 12.7 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 167 balls faced.

Sample: 167 balls · low confidence

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 79.8, 6.6 above their strike rate of 73.3 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 258 balls faced.

Sample: 258 balls · medium confidence

Chasing: average of 15.3, 2.7 above their average of 12.7 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 251 balls faced.

Sample: 251 balls · medium confidence

Spin: average of 14.0, 1.3 above their average of 12.7 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 275 balls faced.

Sample: 275 balls · medium confidence

West Indies: average of 13.7, 1.1 above their average of 12.7 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 287 balls faced.

Sample: 287 balls · medium confidence

New Zealand: average of 20.2, 7.5 above their average of 12.7 on all balls faced (+59%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 164 balls faced.

Sample: 164 balls · low confidence