Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

M Kapp, Women's T20I

Death (16-20): average of 13.7, 7.7 below their average of 21.4 on all balls faced (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 285 balls faced.
Sample: 285 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 16.8, 4.6 below their average of 21.4 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 279 balls faced.
Sample: 279 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 19.6, 1.8 below their average of 21.4 on all balls faced (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 439 balls faced.
Sample: 439 balls · medium confidence

Middle (7-15): average of 27.8, 6.4 above their average of 21.4 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 822 balls faced.
Sample: 822 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 22.8, 1.4 above their average of 21.4 on all balls faced (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 872 balls faced.
Sample: 872 balls · high confidence
Right-arm medium: average of 28.4, 7.0 above their average of 21.4 on all balls faced (+33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 275 balls faced.
Sample: 275 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 29.4, 8.0 above their average of 21.4 on all balls faced (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 219 balls faced.
Sample: 219 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 121.3, 13.7 above their strike rate of 107.7 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 178 balls faced.
Sample: 178 balls · low confidence

Death (16-20): economy of 7.58, 1.99 above their economy of 5.59 on all balls bowled (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 425 balls bowled.
Sample: 425 balls · medium confidence
Powerplay (1-6): strike rate of 28.0, 6.0 above their strike rate of 21.9 on all balls bowled (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 1175 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,175 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 23.0, 2.6 above their average of 20.4 on all balls bowled (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1152 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,152 balls · high confidence
West Indies: average of 24.5, 4.1 above their average of 20.4 on all balls bowled (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 247 balls bowled.
Sample: 247 balls · low confidence
England: average of 28.5, 8.1 above their average of 20.4 on all balls bowled (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 263 balls bowled.
Sample: 263 balls · low confidence

Powerplay (1-6): economy of 4.84, 0.76 below their economy of 5.59 on all balls bowled (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1175 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,175 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 17.0, 3.5 below their average of 20.4 on all balls bowled (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 649 balls bowled.
Sample: 649 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 17.0, 3.5 below their average of 20.4 on all balls bowled (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 649 balls bowled.
Sample: 649 balls · medium confidence
Death (16-20): strike rate of 14.2, 7.8 below their strike rate of 21.9 on all balls bowled (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -16%) — 425 balls bowled.

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Off break	481	497	26	19.12	103.33	36.8%	9.6%
Right-arm medium	275	312	11	28.36	113.45	33.5%	11.3%
Slow left-arm orthodox	219	235	8	29.38	107.31	38.8%	11.4%
Right-arm fast-medium	178	216	9	24.00	121.35	38.2%	16.3%
Leg break	158	158	8	19.75	100.00	36.1%	9.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (7-15)	822	863	31	27.84	104.99	34.1%	9.6%
Death (16-20)	285	370	27	13.70

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,465	1,380	66	20.91	5.65	22.2	50.5%	11.1%
Left-handed batters	428	387	20	19.35	5.43	21.4	55.6%	10.7%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-6)	1,175	947	42	22.55	4.84	28.0	60.1%	10.4%
Death (16-20)	425	537	30	17.90	7.58	14.2	35.5%	14.1%
Middle (7-15)	309	295	15	19.67	5.73	20.6	42.4%	9.1%