Plans built only from the evidence.

Death (16-20): economy of 9.46, 1.72 above their economy of 7.74 on all balls bowled (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 426 balls bowled.

Sample: 426 balls · medium confidence

Powerplay (1-6): economy of 6.61, 1.13 below their economy of 7.74 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 732 balls bowled.

Sample: 732 balls · high confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 22.0, 1.8 below their average of 23.8 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 925 balls bowled.

Sample: 925 balls · high confidence

Death (16-20): strike rate of 12.9, 5.5 below their strike rate of 18.5 on all balls bowled (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: -15%) — 426 balls bowled.

Sample: 426 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 20.6, 3.2 below their average of 23.8 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 264 balls bowled.

Sample: 264 balls · low confidence